Supporting selections are derived from form data and are secondary to the main tip. All bets carry risk.
Form
Form
BTTS
Goals
/Game
/Game
Sheets
/Game
/Game
Sheets
Poisson model derived from each side's goals-per-game average. Probabilistic estimates only — not guarantees.
Probabilities derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in group.
BD
BD
CUP
BD
BD
BD
BD
CUP
BD
BD
BD
BD
CUP
BD
BD
BD
BD
CUP
BD
BD
BD
BD
BD
BD
BD
CUP
CUP
CUP
CUP
BD
BD
BD
CUP
BD
BD
BD
CUP
CUP
BD
BD
BD
BD
On Monday, 22nd June 2026, Stjarnan W host Fram W at Stjörnuvöllur (Reykjavík) in Iceland Besta deild Women. Analysis points to Stjarnan W to win.
Stjarnan W arrive showing mixed form — 5W 2D 3L from 10 matches, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 per game.
Fram W are struggling away — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.1 per match.
The H2H record stands: Stjarnan W 1 wins, Fram W 1 wins, 0 draws in 2 meetings. Both sides scored in 100% of those contests.
On the balance of evidence, stjarnan w to win at 1.17 stands as the selection of merit. Confirm team news before kick-off.
Right, let us dig into this Iceland Besta deild Women fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.
The hosts arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Stjörnuvöllur (Reykjavík) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.
The away team responds with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.
Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.17, which we make roughly a 80% shout. Kick-off is 8:15 pm.
That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.