Tip WON  ·  Rodina Moscow 5-2 FC Chayka
🏆 Russia FNL 📅 Monday, 23rd March 2026
ROD
Rodina Moscow
D W W L D
5-2
VS
FC
FC Chayka
D W L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Rodina Moscow to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~50% implied
Confidence
34%
Value Play
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Rodina Moscow to win @1.31
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-26.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Rodina Moscow
D W W L D L D L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
FC Chayka
D W L L L D W W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Rodina Moscow1W
Draw2
FC Chayka1W
Against Rodina Moscow won 1 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Rodina Moscow wins2/10
FC Chayka wins4/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals2.3
Caution Rodina Moscow: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games.
2-4-4
Rodina Moscow form
4-2-4
FC Chayka form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Rodina Moscow
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
5.3
FC Chayka
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.3
Key Analytics
Rodina Moscow
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
FC Chayka
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
Match History
Head to Head
04.10.25
FNL: FK Chayka
Rodina Moscow
0
0
10.11.24
FNL: Rodina Moscow
FK Chayka
2
0
11.08.24
FNL: FK Chayka
Rodina Moscow 
2
2
09.02.23
CF: Rodina Moscow
FK Chayka 
1
2
Recent Results
Rodina Moscow
14.03.26
FNL: SKA Khabarovsk
Rodina Moscow
2
2
D
08.03.26
FNL: Torpedo Moscow
Rodina Moscow
0
2
W
02.03.26
FNL: Rodina Moscow
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2
1
W
20.02.26
CF: Chelyabinsk
Rodina Moscow
1
0
L
20.02.26
CF: Rodina Moscow
Chernomorets
0
0
D
18.02.26
CF: Pyunik Yerevan
Rodina Moscow
2
1
L
15.02.26
CF: Sochi
Rodina Moscow
1
1
D
15.02.26
CF: Sochi
Rodina Moscow
3
2
L
11.02.26
CF: Ufa
Rodina Moscow
2
2
D
11.02.26
CF: S. Kostroma
Rodina Moscow
2
0
L
FC Chayka
14.03.26
FNL: S. Kostroma
FK Chayka
1
1
D
07.03.26
FNL: FK Chayka
Saratov
1
0
W
01.03.26
FNL: FK Chayka
SKA Khabarovsk
1
3
L
20.02.26
CF: FK Chayka
Krylya Sovetov
3
5
L
14.02.26
CF: FK Chayka
Arsenal Tula
2
4
L
11.02.26
CF: FK Chayka
Altai
0
0
D
06.02.26
CF: Graficar Beograd
FK Chayka
0
4
W
05.02.26
CF: FK Chayka
Alay Osh
2
1
W
28.01.26
CF: Yenisey
FK Chayka
0
3
W
20.01.26
CF: FK Chayka
Ozgon
2
3
L
Expert Analysis

On Monday, 23rd March 2026, Rodina Moscow host FC Chayka in Russia FNL. Our analysis points to Rodina Moscow to win as the standout bet.

Rodina Moscow come into this going through a difficult run, with 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

FC Chayka are inconsistent on the road — 4W 2D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.7 per match.

Historically, Rodina Moscow have won 1 of the last 4 meetings against FC Chayka, who have taken 1 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.3 goals.

With all factors considered, rodina moscow to win at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Russia FNL clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.31. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Rodina Moscow vs FC Chayka?
Our top pick is 1 — Rodina Moscow to win at around 1.31. Confidence: 34%.
What is Rodina Moscow's recent form?
Rodina Moscow have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has FC Chayka been performing?
FC Chayka: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Rodina Moscow 1 wins vs FC Chayka's 1, with 2 draws in 4 meetings. Avg 2.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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