Tip WON Riga 3-0 Super Nova
Match Programme Sunday, 24th May 2026
🏆 Latvia Virsliga
RS
R
Riga
W D W W W
3
VS
S
Super Nova
W W D L L
0
Expert Selection
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Score 2-1 9.8%
Odds
1.39
Confidence
77%
STRONG PICK
18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware · GamCare
Page 2
⚡ Supporting Bets
Additional Angles
Primary Selection
Over 2.5over 2.5 goals
1.39
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
Page 3
🎲 Betting Angles at a Glance
Key Stats For Bettors
Value Assessment — Our Probability vs Market Odds
Our Probability
90%
Analyst estimate
Market Implied
72%
From odds 1.39
Value Edge
+18%
Positive value bet
65%
Over 2.5
Goals Rate
60%
BTTS Rate
Recent
70%
H2H BTTS
Rate
4.6
H2H Avg
Goals/Game
Page 4
⚔ Head to Head
Historical Record
9
Riga
1
Draws
0
Super Nova
Supports Bet Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
Page 5
📊 Statistical Comparison
Performance Data
Riga
Stat
Super Nova
3
Goals Per Game
1.1
1.2
Conceded Per Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
70%
40%
Page 6
📈 Form Ratings
Analyst Grades
Riga
Overall
7.9
Scoring
10.0
Defence
6.0
Super Nova
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
Page 7
🎯 Score Predictions
Poisson Model
Based on both teams' goals-per-game averages. Probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.
Top Pick
2-1
9.8% probability
Alternative 1
1-1
9.1% probability
Alternative 2
2-0
8.5% probability
Page 8
🔀 Combination Markets
Probability Estimates
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes32%
Home Win & BTTS No22%
Draw & BTTS Yes9%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes19%
Away Win & BTTS No12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.535%
Home Win & Under 2.519%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
Page 9
📜 Match Archive
Results Log
Head to Head
14.04.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
4
30.08.25VIR
Super Nova
2
Riga FC
6
22.06.25VIR
Riga FC
2
Super Nova
0
01.05.25VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
5
06.03.25VIR
Riga FC
2
Super Nova
0
29.10.23VIR
Riga FC
1
Super Nova
1
06.08.23VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
5
31.05.23VIR
Riga FC
5
Super Nova
1
20.04.23VIR
Super Nova
0
Riga FC
4
30.09.22VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
4
Recent Results
Riga
20.05.26VIR
Tukums 2000
1
Riga FC
3
W
16.05.26VIR
Riga FC
2
Jelgava
2
D
12.05.26VIR
Riga FC
4
Auda
1
W
08.05.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils
1
Riga FC
3
W
03.05.26VIR
Riga FC
1
FK Liepaja
0
W
28.04.26VIR
RFS
3
Riga FC
3
D
22.04.26VIR
Riga FC
4
Ogre United
0
W
18.04.26VIR
Grobina
0
Riga FC
3
W
14.04.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
4
W
09.04.26VIR
Riga FC
3
Tukums 2000
3
D
Super Nova
20.05.26VIR
Grobina
0
Super Nova
2
W
16.05.26VIR
Super Nova
3
Ogre United
1
W
11.05.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Tukums 2000
1
D
06.05.26VIR
Jelgava
1
Super Nova
0
L
01.05.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Auda
2
L
27.04.26VIR
BFC Daugavpils
0
Super Nova
1
W
23.04.26VIR
Super Nova
1
FK Liepaja
2
L
18.04.26VIR
RFS
2
Super Nova
0
L
14.04.26VIR
Super Nova
1
Riga FC
4
L
09.04.26VIR
Grobina
0
Super Nova
1
W
Page 10
📝 Expert Analysis
Match Preview

On Sunday, 24th May 2026, Riga host Super Nova in Latvia Virsliga. Our analysts back over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Riga arrive in strong form: 7W 3D 0L from 10 matches, averaging 3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Super Nova are inconsistent on the road: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games.

H2H: Riga lead with 9 wins vs Super Nova's 0, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. BTTS in 70% of those games.

Verdict: over 2.5 goals at 1.39 is our best value angle for this fixture.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Latvia Virsliga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.39. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Page 11
❓ Common Questions
Bettor FAQ
What is the best bet for Riga vs Super Nova?
Selection: Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at ~1.39. Confidence: 77%.
What is Riga's recent form?
Riga: 7W 3D 0L from 10 games.
How has Super Nova been performing?
Super Nova: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games.
What does the H2H record show?
Riga 9W vs Super Nova 0W, 1 draws in 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Average 3.3 goals/game. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.