Tip WON  ·  RB Leipzig 2-1 Pauli
🏆 Bundesliga 📅 Saturday, 9th May 2026
RB
RB Leipzig
L W W W W
2-1
VS
PAU
Pauli
L L D L D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing RB Leipzig to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
~50% implied
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — RB Leipzig to win @1.32
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-25.8%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.8% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.8% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
RB Leipzig
L W W W W W L W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Pauli
L L D L D L L D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
RB Leipzig3W
Draw2
Pauli3W
Against RB Leipzig won 3 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
RB Leipzig wins7/10
Pauli wins2/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals2.3
Supports Tip RB Leipzig: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
RB Leipzig form
2-3-5
Pauli form
38%
H2H BTTS rate
2.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
RB Leipzig
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
6.0
Pauli
Overall
2.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.7
Key Analytics
RB Leipzig
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Pauli
0.7
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
Match History
Head to Head
27.01.26
BUN
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
1
09.02.25
BUN
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
2
0
29.10.24
POK
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
4
2
22.09.24
BUN
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
0
0
12.02.16
2BUN
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
0
23.08.15
2BUN
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
0
1
03.05.15
2BUN
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
0
23.11.14
2BUN
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
4
1
Recent Results
RB Leipzig
02.05.26
BUN
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
4
1
L
24.04.26
BUN
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
3
1
W
18.04.26
BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig
1
3
W
11.04.26
BUN
RB Leipzig
B. Monchengladbach
1
0
W
04.04.26
BUN
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
1
2
W
20.03.26
BUN
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim
5
0
W
15.03.26
BUN
Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
1
0
L
07.03.26
BUN
RB Leipzig
Augsburg
2
1
W
01.03.26
BUN
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
1
2
W
21.02.26
BUN
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
2
2
D
Pauli
03.05.26
BUN
St. Pauli
Mainz
1
2
L
25.04.26
BUN
Heidenheim
St. Pauli
2
0
L
17.04.26
BUN
St. Pauli
FC Koln
1
1
D
11.04.26
BUN
St. Pauli
Bayern Munich
0
5
L
05.04.26
BUN
Union Berlin
St. Pauli
1
1
D
22.03.26
BUN
St. Pauli
Freiburg
1
2
L
13.03.26
BUN
B. Monchengladbach
St. Pauli
2
0
L
08.03.26
BUN
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
0
D
28.02.26
BUN
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
0
1
W
22.02.26
BUN
St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 9th May 2026, RB Leipzig host Pauli in Bundesliga. Our analysis points to RB Leipzig to win as the standout bet.

RB Leipzig come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Pauli are struggling away from home — 2W 3D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, RB Leipzig have won 3 of the last 8 meetings against Pauli, who have taken 3 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 38% of those games, averaging 2.3 goals.

With all factors considered, rb leipzig to win at 1.32 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Bundesliga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.32. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for RB Leipzig vs Pauli?
Our top pick is 1 — RB Leipzig to win at around 1.32. Confidence: 53%.
What is RB Leipzig's recent form?
RB Leipzig have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Pauli been performing?
Pauli: 2W 3D 5L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
RB Leipzig 3 wins vs Pauli's 3, with 2 draws in 8 meetings. Avg 2.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 38%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org