Tip WON  ·  Raufoss 1-3 Kongsvinger
🏆 Norway OBOS-Ligaen 📅 Monday, 13th April 2026
RAU
Raufoss
W D L W D
1-3
VS
KON
Kongsvinger
W D W W L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.41
~90% implied
Confidence
75%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.41
Goals Over 2.5 68%
Goals Over 1.5 95%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 69%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+19.1%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 70.9% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +19.1% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 65.6% $656.00
Half Kelly 32.8% $328.00
Quarter Kelly 16.4% $164.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Raufoss
W D L W D D W W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Kongsvinger
W D W W L W W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Raufoss1W
Draw5
Kongsvinger4W
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 60% of H2H meetings (avg 3.1).
📈 Recent Form
Raufoss wins5/10
Kongsvinger wins5/9
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals3.1
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 68% of recent games.
5-4-1
Raufoss form
5-2-2
Kongsvinger form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Raufoss
Overall
6.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
Kongsvinger
Overall
6.2
Scoring
7.0
Defence
4.4
Key Analytics
Raufoss
2
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Kongsvinger
2.1
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
11%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
Match History
Head to Head
06.08.25
OBOS-ligaen: Raufoss
Kongsvinger
2
2
28.06.25
OBOS-ligaen: Kongsvinger
Raufoss
2
2
26.10.24
OBOS-ligaen: Raufoss
Kongsvinger
1
1
11.05.24
OBOS-ligaen: Kongsvinger
Raufoss
1
1
06.08.23
OBOS-ligaen: Kongsvinger
Raufoss
1
3
21.05.23
OBOS-ligaen: Raufoss
Kongsvinger
1
2
22.08.22
OBOS-ligaen: Raufoss
Kongsvinger
0
1
15.05.22
OBOS-ligaen: Kongsvinger
Raufoss
4
1
18.03.22
Friendly: Raufoss
Kongsvinger
2
2
02.03.22
Friendly: Kongsvinger
Raufoss
2
0
Recent Results
Raufoss
29.03.26
Friendlies: Raufoss
Mjøndalen
3
2
W
21.03.26
Friendlies: Sogndal
Raufoss
1
1
D
14.03.26
Friendlies: Raufoss
Kjelsås
1
4
L
07.03.26
Friendlies: Raufoss
Strømmen
3
0
W
27.02.26
Friendlies: Raufoss
Moss
3
3
D
15.02.26
Friendlies: Raufoss
Sandnes Ulf
0
0
D
06.02.26
Friendlies: Raufoss
Lyn
2
1
W
31.01.26
Friendlies: Raufoss
Elverum
4
0
W
24.01.26
Friendlies: Raufoss
SK Gjøvik-Lyn
2
0
W
08.11.25
OBOS-ligaen: Moss
Raufoss
1
1
D
Kongsvinger
07.04.26
OBOS-ligaen: Kongsvinger
Bryne
3
0
W
29.03.26
Friendlies: Hammarby
Kongsvinger
3
3
D
21.03.26
Friendlies: Stabæk
Kongsvinger
2
3
W
18.03.26
Friendlies: Kongsvinger
Grorud
2
1
W
14.03.26
Friendlies: Kongsvinger
Strømmen
1
3
L
24.02.26
Friendlies: Lillestrøm
Kongsvinger
2
4
W
21.02.26
Friendlies: Haugesund
Kongsvinger
1
2
W
13.02.26
Friendlies: KFUM Oslo
Kongsvinger
1
1
D
06.02.26
Friendlies: HamKam
Kongsvinger
2
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Monday, 13th April 2026, Raufoss host Kongsvinger in Norway OBOS-Ligaen. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Raufoss come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Kongsvinger are inconsistent on the road — 5W 2D 2L in 9 games, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.7 per match.

Historically, Raufoss have won 1 of the last 10 meetings against Kongsvinger, who have taken 4 victories, with 5 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.41 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Norway OBOS-Ligaen clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.41. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Raufoss vs Kongsvinger?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.41. Confidence: 75%.
What is Raufoss's recent form?
Raufoss have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Kongsvinger been performing?
Kongsvinger: 5W 2D 2L from 9 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Raufoss 1 wins vs Kongsvinger's 4, with 5 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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