Tip WON  ·  PSG 3-1 Toulouse
🏆 Ligue 1 📅 Friday, 3rd April 2026
PSG
PSG
W W W L W
3-1
VS
TOU
Toulouse
W W L W L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing PSG to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
~60% implied
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-15.8%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.8% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -15.8% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
PSG
W W W L W D W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Toulouse
W W L D L D L L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
PSG8W
Draw1
Toulouse1W
Supports Tip PSG won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
PSG wins7/10
Toulouse wins3/10
Goals per game3.1
H2H avg goals3.2
Supports Tip PSG: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
PSG form
3-3-4
Toulouse form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
PSG
Overall
7.3
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.0
Toulouse
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
Key Analytics
PSG
2.8
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Toulouse
1
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head
30.08.25
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
3
6
15.02.25
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
0
1
22.11.24
Ligue 1: PSG
Toulouse
3
0
12.05.24
Ligue 1: PSG
Toulouse
1
3
03.01.24
Trophee des Champions: PSG
Toulouse
2
0
19.08.23
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
1
1
04.02.23
Ligue 1: PSG
Toulouse
2
1
31.08.22
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
0
3
25.08.19
Ligue 1: PSG
Toulouse
4
0
31.03.19
Ligue 1: Toulouse
PSG
0
1
Recent Results
PSG
21.03.26
Ligue 1: Nice
PSG
0
4
W
17.03.26
UCL: Chelsea
PSG
0
3
W
11.03.26
UCL: PSG
Chelsea
5
2
W
06.03.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Monaco
1
3
L
28.02.26
Ligue 1: Le Havre
PSG
0
1
W
25.02.26
UCL: PSG
Monaco
2
2
D
21.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Metz
3
0
W
17.02.26
UCL: Monaco
PSG
2
3
W
13.02.26
Ligue 1: Rennes
PSG
3
1
L
08.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
Marseille
5
0
W
Toulouse
21.03.26
L1: Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
L1: Metz
Toulouse
3
4
W
07.03.26
L1: Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
CDF: Marseille
Toulouse (2-3 Pens)
2
2
W
28.02.26
L1: Rennes
Toulouse
1
0
L
21.02.26
L1: Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
L1: Le Havre
Toulouse
2
1
L
08.02.26
L1: Angers
Toulouse
1
0
L
04.02.26
CDF: Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
L1: Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 3rd April 2026, PSG host Toulouse in Ligue 1. Our analysis points to PSG to win as the standout bet.

PSG come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Toulouse are struggling away from home — 3W 3D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.1 per match.

Historically, PSG have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against Toulouse, who have taken 1 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, psg to win at 1.32 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Ligue 1 clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.32. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for PSG vs Toulouse?
Our top pick is 1 — PSG to win at around 1.32. Confidence: 68%.
What is PSG's recent form?
PSG have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Toulouse been performing?
Toulouse: 3W 3D 4L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
PSG 8 wins vs Toulouse's 1, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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