Tip WON  ·  PSG 3-0 Nantes
🏆 Ligue 1 📅 Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
PSG
PSG
L W W W W
3-0
VS
NAN
Nantes
D D D L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing PSG to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.21
~60% implied
Confidence
66%
Strong Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-22.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 82.6% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -22.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
PSG
L W W W W W W L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Nantes
D D D L L L W L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
PSG7W
Draw2
Nantes1W
Supports Tip PSG won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
PSG wins7/10
Nantes wins1/10
Goals per game2.7
H2H avg goals3.1
Supports Tip PSG: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
7-1-2
PSG form
1-3-6
Nantes form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
PSG
Overall
7.3
Scoring
8.0
Defence
6.7
Nantes
Overall
1.9
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.0
Key Analytics
PSG
2.4
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Nantes
0.7
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 39%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 5%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
Match History
Head to Head
17.08.25
L1
Nantes
PSG
0
1
22.04.25
L1
Nantes
PSG
1
1
30.11.24
L1
PSG
Nantes
1
1
17.02.24
L1
Nantes
PSG
0
2
09.12.23
L1
PSG
Nantes
2
1
04.03.23
L1
PSG
Nantes
4
2
03.09.22
L1
Nantes
PSG
0
3
31.07.22
SC
PSG
Nantes
4
0
19.02.22
L1
Nantes
PSG
3
1
20.11.21
L1
PSG
Nantes
3
1
Recent Results
PSG
19.04.26
L1
PSG
Lyon
1
2
L
14.04.26
CL
Liverpool
PSG
0
2
W
08.04.26
CL
PSG
Liverpool
2
0
W
03.04.26
L1
PSG
Toulouse
3
1
W
21.03.26
L1
Nice
PSG
0
4
W
17.03.26
CL
Chelsea
PSG
0
3
W
11.03.26
CL
PSG
Chelsea
5
2
W
06.03.26
L1
PSG
Monaco
1
3
L
28.02.26
L1
Le Havre
PSG
0
1
W
25.02.26
CL
PSG
Monaco
2
2
D
Nantes
19.04.26
L1
Nantes
Brest
1
1
D
11.04.26
L1
Auxerre
Nantes
0
0
D
05.04.26
L1
Metz
Nantes
0
0
D
22.03.26
L1
Nantes
Strasbourg
2
3
L
07.03.26
L1
Nantes
Angers
0
1
L
01.03.26
L1
Lille
Nantes
1
0
L
22.02.26
L1
Nantes
Le Havre
2
0
W
13.02.26
L1
Monaco
Nantes
3
1
L
07.02.26
L1
Nantes
Lyon
0
1
L
31.01.26
L1
Lorient
Nantes
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 22nd April 2026, PSG host Nantes in Ligue 1. Our analysis points to PSG to win as the standout bet.

PSG come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

Nantes are struggling away from home — 1W 3D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, PSG have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Nantes, who have taken 1 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, psg to win at 1.21 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Ligue 1 clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.21. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for PSG vs Nantes?
Our top pick is 1 — PSG to win at around 1.21. Confidence: 66%.
What is PSG's recent form?
PSG have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Nantes been performing?
Nantes: 1W 3D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
PSG 7 wins vs Nantes's 1, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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