Tip WON  ·  Paide 3-1 Nomme Utd
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Wednesday, 8th April 2026
PAI
Paide
W D W W L
3-1
VS
NOM
Nomme Utd
D L W L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Paide to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.37
~50% implied
Confidence
66%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Paide to win @1.37
Goals Under 2.5 70%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-23%
edge
No Value
Market implies 73% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -23% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Paide
W D W W L W L W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Nomme Utd
D L W L L W W D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Paide6W
Draw0
Nomme Utd0W
Supports Tip Paide won 6 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Paide wins6/10
Nomme Utd wins3/10
Goals per game1.5
H2H avg goals3.8
Supports Tip Paide: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Paide form
3-2-5
Nomme Utd form
33%
H2H BTTS rate
3.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Paide
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.3
Nomme Utd
Overall
3.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Key Analytics
Paide
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Nomme Utd
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 39%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
Match History
Head to Head
03.11.24
Meistriliiga: FC Nõmme United
Paide Linnameeskond
0
4
14.09.24
Meistriliiga: Paide Linnameeskond
FC Nõmme United
7
2
12.05.24
Meistriliiga: FC Nõmme United
Paide Linnameeskond
0
1
10.03.24
Meistriliiga: Paide Linnameeskond
FC Nõmme United
3
1
19.10.22
Estonian Cup: FC Nõmme United
Paide Linnameeskond
0
4
02.08.16
Estonian Cup: Paide Linnameeskond
FC Nõmme United
1
0
Recent Results
Paide
03.04.26
Meistriliiga: FC Kuressaare
Paide Linnameeskond
0
1
W
22.03.26
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
Paide Linnameeskond
2
2
D
15.03.26
Meistriliiga: Paide Linnameeskond
JK Narva Trans
1
0
W
11.03.26
Cup Estonia: Paide Linnameeskond
JK Tallinna Kalev
6
0
W
07.03.26
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus
Paide Linnameeskond
3
2
L
28.02.26
Friendly: Paide Linnameeskond
SK Super Nova
1
0
W
20.02.26
Friendly: Paide Linnameeskond
FC Flora
1
3
L
14.02.26
Friendly: Paide Linnameeskond
Nõmme Kalju FC
2
1
W
07.02.26
Friendly: JK Narva Trans
Paide Linnameeskond
1
1
D
31.01.26
Friendly: Paide Linnameeskond
FK Metta
2
1
W
Nomme Utd
04.04.26
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
FC Nõmme United
1
1
D
21.03.26
Meistriliiga: FC Nõmme United
JK Tammeka Tartu
2
3
L
14.03.26
Meistriliiga: FC Nõmme United
Pärnu JK Vaprus
7
1
W
10.03.26
Cup Estonia: FC Flora
FC Nõmme United
3
1
L
07.03.26
Meistriliiga: FC Flora
FC Nõmme United
3
0
L
20.02.26
Friendly: Viimsi JK
FC Nõmme United
1
5
W
14.02.26
Friendly: FC Nõmme United
FC Tallinn
3
0
W
07.02.26
Friendly: FC Kuressaare
FC Nõmme United
3
3
D
01.02.26
Friendly: FC Nõmme United
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
31.01.26
Friendly: FC Nõmme United
JK Tammeka Tartu
0
6
L
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 8th April 2026, Paide host Nomme Utd in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Paide to win as the standout bet.

Paide come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Nomme Utd are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 per match.

Historically, Paide have won 6 of the last 6 meetings against Nomme Utd, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 33% of those games, averaging 3.8 goals.

With all factors considered, paide to win at 1.37 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Meistriliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.37. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Paide vs Nomme Utd?
Our top pick is 1 — Paide to win at around 1.37. Confidence: 66%.
What is Paide's recent form?
Paide have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Nomme Utd been performing?
Nomme Utd: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Paide 6 wins vs Nomme Utd's 0, with 0 draws in 6 meetings. Avg 3.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 33%.
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