Tip WON  ·  Netherlands W 3-1 Poland W
🏆 Euro WCQ Women 📅 Tuesday, 9th June 2026
NET
Netherlands W
L D W W D
3-1
VS
POL
Poland W
L L L L D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Netherlands W to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.14
~60% implied
Confidence
48%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Netherlands W to win @1.14
Goals Over 2.5 65%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-27.7%
edge
No Value
Market implies 87.7% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -27.7% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Netherlands W
L D W W D W W W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Poland W
L L L L D W W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Netherlands W1W
Draw2
Poland W1W
Against Netherlands W won 1 of the last 4 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Netherlands W wins5/10
Poland W wins4/10
Goals per game3.3
H2H avg goals2.5
Mixed Netherlands W: 5W 3D 2L from 10 games.
5-3-2
Netherlands W form
4-2-4
Poland W form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Netherlands W
Overall
5.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.3
Poland W
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
Key Analytics
Netherlands W
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Poland W
1.7
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head
03.03.26
WC
Poland W
Netherlands
2
2
W
24.10.25
FI
Poland W
Netherlands
0
0
W
11.04.23
FI
Netherlands W
Poland
4
1
W
04.03.19
ALG
Netherlands W
Poland
0
1
W
Recent Results
Netherlands W
05.06.26
WC
Ireland W
Netherlands W
3
2
L
18.04.26
WC
France W
Netherlands W
1
1
D
14.04.26
WC
Netherlands W
France W
2
1
W
07.03.26
WC
Netherlands W
Ireland W
2
1
W
03.03.26
WC
Poland W
Netherlands W
2
2
D
02.12.25
FI
Netherlands W
South Korea W
5
0
W
28.11.25
FI
Portugal W
Netherlands W
1
2
W
28.10.25
FI
Netherlands W
Canada W
1
0
W
24.10.25
FI
Poland W
Netherlands W
0
0
D
13.07.25
EUR
Netherlands W
France W
2
5
L
Poland W
05.06.26
WC
Poland W
France W
0
2
L
18.04.26
WC
Ireland W
Poland W
1
0
L
14.04.26
WC
Poland W
Ireland W
2
3
L
07.03.26
WC
France W
Poland W
4
1
L
03.03.26
WC
Poland W
Netherlands W
2
2
D
02.12.25
FI
Poland W
Latvia W
3
0
W
28.11.25
FI
Poland W
Slovenia W
1
0
W
28.10.25
FI
Wales W
Poland W
2
5
W
24.10.25
FI
Poland W
Netherlands W
0
0
D
12.07.25
EUR
Poland W
Denmark W
3
2
W
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 9th June 2026, Netherlands W host Poland W in Euro WCQ Women. Our analysis points to Netherlands W to win as the standout bet.

Netherlands W come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Poland W are inconsistent on the road — 4W 2D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Netherlands W have won 1 of the last 4 meetings against Poland W, who have taken 1 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.5 goals.

With all factors considered, netherlands w to win at 1.14 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Euro WCQ Women clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.14. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Netherlands W vs Poland W?
Our top pick is 1 — Netherlands W to win at around 1.14. Confidence: 48%.
What is Netherlands W's recent form?
Netherlands W have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Poland W been performing?
Poland W: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Netherlands W 1 wins vs Poland W's 1, with 2 draws in 4 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.