Tip WON  ·  Neptunas 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris 2
🏆 Lithuania 1 Lyga 📅 Thursday, 18th June 2026
NEP
Neptunas
W W W W L
2-1
VS
KAU
Kauno Zalgiris 2
L W W L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Neptunas to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.28
~50% implied
Confidence
59%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Neptunas to win @1.28
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 65%
H2H Over 2.5 88%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-28.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -28.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Neptunas
W W W W L W W W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Kauno Zalgiris 2
L W W L L L L L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Neptunas5W
Draw1
Kauno Zalgiris 22W
Supports Tip Neptunas won 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Neptunas wins7/10
Kauno Zalgiris 2 wins3/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals3.9
Supports Tip Neptunas: 7W 0D 3L from 10 games.
7-0-3
Neptunas form
3-0-7
Kauno Zalgiris 2 form
63%
H2H BTTS rate
3.9
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Neptunas
Overall
7.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.7
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Overall
3.0
Scoring
1.7
Defence
4.7
Key Analytics
Neptunas
1.7
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Kauno Zalgiris 2
0.5
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 46%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
Match History
Head to Head
24.10.25
IL
Neptunas
Kauno Zalgiris 2
3
1
17.06.25
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Neptunas
1
3
18.08.24
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Neptunas
2
2
22.03.24
IL
Neptunas
Kauno Zalgiris 2
2
1
04.11.23
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Neptunas
5
1
23.06.23
IL
Neptunas
Kauno Zalgiris 2
5
0
02.10.21
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Neptunas
3
0
20.06.21
IL
Neptunas
Kauno Zalgiris 2
2
0
Recent Results
Neptunas
10.06.26
IL
Neptunas
Transinvest 2
3
0
W
05.06.26
IL
Ekranas
Neptunas
1
2
W
30.05.26
IL
Neptunas
BE1 NFA
1
0
W
22.05.26
IL
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Neptunas
2
3
W
16.05.26
IL
Neptunas
FK Minija
1
3
L
08.05.26
IL
Jonava
Neptunas
0
1
W
02.05.26
IL
Neptunas
Zalgiris 2
2
1
W
25.04.26
IL
Atmosfera
Neptunas
1
3
W
22.04.26
CUP
Neptunas
Dziugas Telsiai
0
2
L
17.04.26
IL
Neptunas
BFA Vilnius
1
3
L
Kauno Zalgiris 2
12.06.26
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Dainava Alytus
0
2
L
30.05.26
IL
Transinvest 2
Kauno Zalgiris 2
0
1
W
24.05.26
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Siauliai 2
2
0
W
15.05.26
IL
Garliava
Kauno Zalgiris 2
3
0
L
08.05.26
IL
Ekranas
Kauno Zalgiris 2
1
0
L
02.05.26
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
BE1 NFA
0
1
L
24.04.26
IL
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Kauno Zalgiris 2
2
0
L
19.04.26
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
FK Minija
0
4
L
12.04.26
IL
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Zalgiris 2
0
1
L
04.04.26
IL
Jonava
Kauno Zalgiris 2
3
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 18th June 2026, Neptunas host Kauno Zalgiris 2 in Lithuania 1 Lyga. Our analysis points to Neptunas to win as the standout bet.

Neptunas come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Kauno Zalgiris 2 are struggling away from home — 3W 0D 7L in 10 games, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.6 per match.

Historically, Neptunas have won 5 of the last 8 meetings against Kauno Zalgiris 2, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 63% of those games, averaging 3.9 goals.

With all factors considered, neptunas to win at 1.28 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Lithuania 1 Lyga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.28. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Neptunas vs Kauno Zalgiris 2?
Our top pick is 1 — Neptunas to win at around 1.28. Confidence: 59%.
What is Neptunas's recent form?
Neptunas have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Kauno Zalgiris 2 been performing?
Kauno Zalgiris 2: 3W 0D 7L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Neptunas 5 wins vs Kauno Zalgiris 2's 2, with 1 draws in 8 meetings. Avg 3.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 63%.