✓ Tip WON  ·  NEC FC 1-0 UPDF
🏆 Uganda Premier League 📅 Tuesday, 3rd March 2026
NEC
NEC FC
D W D W D
1-0
VS
UPD
UPDF
L D L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing NEC FC to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.45
~50% implied
Confidence
★★★★★
37%
Value Play
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — NEC FC to win @1.45
Goals Under 2.5 75%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 75%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-19%
edge
No Value
Market implies 69% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -19% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
NEC FC
D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 50%
UPDF
L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
NEC FC0W
Draw5
UPDF0W
Against NEC FC won 0 of the last 5 meetings (5 draws).
📈 Recent Form
NEC FC wins1/2
UPDF wins0/2
Goals per game2
H2H avg goals1.4
Mixed NEC FC: 1W 1D 0L from 2 games.
1-1-0
NEC FC form
0-0-2
UPDF form
20%
H2H BTTS rate
1.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
NEC FC
Overall
6.5 —
Scoring
3.3 —
Defence
8.3 —
UPDF
Overall
0.0 —
Scoring
0.0 —
Defence
1.7 —
Key Analytics
NEC FC
1
Goals
scored/game
0.5
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
UPDF
0
Goals
scored/game
2.5
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 50%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 25%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 50%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 25%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
16.12.25
: UPD
NEC
0
0
04.04.25
: UPD
NEC
0
0
24.09.24
: NEC
UPD
1
0
13.02.24
: UPD
NEC
2
2
20.10.23
: NEC
UPD
2
0
Recent Results
NEC FC
17.02.26
: VIP
NEC
1
1
13.02.26
: NEC
KCC
3
1
31.01.26
: NEC
EXP
0
0
27.01.26
: BUH
NEC
0
1
24.01.26
: NEC
KIT
3
3
UPDF
18.02.26
: LUG
UPD
1
0
13.02.26
: UPD
BUH
0
0
30.01.26
: UPD
BUL
0
1
27.01.26
: KCC
UPD
4
0
21.01.26
: UPD
ENT
0
1
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 3rd March 2026, NEC FC host UPDF in Uganda Premier League. Our analysis points to NEC FC to win as the standout bet.

NEC FC come into this showing mixed form, with 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses from their last 2 matches. They average 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game.

UPDF are struggling away from home — 0W 0D 2L in 2 games, scoring 0 and conceding 2.5 per match.

Historically, NEC FC have won 0 of the last 5 meetings against UPDF, who have taken 0 victories, with 5 draws. Both teams scored in 20% of those games, averaging 1.4 goals.

With all factors considered, nec fc to win at 1.45 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for NEC FC vs UPDF?
Our top pick is 1 — NEC FC to win at around 1.45. Confidence: 37%.
What is NEC FC's recent form?
NEC FC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 — decent form.
How has UPDF been performing?
UPDF: 0W 0D 2L from 2 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
NEC FC 0 wins vs UPDF's 0, with 5 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.
Related Predictions
Coupe De France
Strasbourg vs Reims
1X
@1.16
kKNVB Beker
Nijmegen vs PSV
X2
@1.20
Bulgaria EFBET League
Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia
1
@1.44
Uganda Premier League
Vipers SC vs Lugazi
1
@1.17
Armenian Cup
Ararat Yereven vs Urartu
2
@1.38
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org