🏆 Finland Veikkausliiga 📅 Saturday, 27th June 2026 ⏰ 3:00 pm 📍 Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn)
MAR
Mariehamn
L L L L L
VS
INT
Inter Turku
D D D W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Inter Turku to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.32
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — Inter Turku to win @1.32
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-25.8%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.8% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.8% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Mariehamn
L L L L L L D W D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
Inter Turku
D D D W D W W W W W
🔥 Hot 5 in a row
Momentum 100%
⚔ Head to Head
Mariehamn2W
Draw2
Inter Turku6W
Supports Tip Inter Turku won 6 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Mariehamn wins1/10
Inter Turku wins6/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals2
Supports Tip Inter Turku: 6W 4D 0L from 10 games.
1-2-7
Mariehamn form
6-4-0
Inter Turku form
20%
H2H BTTS rate
2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Mariehamn
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
4.3
Inter Turku
Overall
7.2
Scoring
8.3
Defence
6.7
Key Analytics
Mariehamn
0.6
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Inter Turku
2.5
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 5%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 36%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
Match History
Head to Head
25.04.26
VEI
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
24.01.26
LC
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
02.07.25
VEI
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
0
0
10.05.25
VEI
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
2
2
26.01.25
LC
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
2
0
06.10.24
VEI
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
1
02.08.24
VEI
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
3
0
05.05.24
VEI
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
3
1
03.02.24
LC
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
0
2
30.07.23
VEI
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
0
2
Recent Results
Mariehamn
23.06.26
VEI
Mariehamn
HJK
0
4
L
18.06.26
VEI
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
2
1
L
13.06.26
VEI
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
3
L
30.05.26
VEI
HJK
Mariehamn
1
0
L
26.05.26
CUP
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
1
L
23.05.26
VEI
Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
L
16.05.26
VEI
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
1
D
13.05.26
CUP
Mariehamn
PuiU
3
0
W
10.05.26
VEI
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
02.05.26
VEI
Mariehamn
VPS
0
1
L
Inter Turku
23.06.26
VEI
Inter Turku
SJK
1
1
D
17.06.26
VEI
HJK
Inter Turku
3
3
D
13.06.26
VEI
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
10.06.26
CUP
SJK
Inter Turku
1
2
W
30.05.26
VEI
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
26.05.26
CUP
Inter Turku
EBK
2
1
W
23.05.26
VEI
Inter Turku
TPS
2
1
W
20.05.26
VEI
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
W
16.05.26
VEI
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
W
12.05.26
CUP
Inter Turku
Hercules
8
0
W
Venue Records
Mariehamn at Home
23.06.26
VEI
Mariehamn
HJK
0
4
L
13.06.26
VEI
Mariehamn
Gnistan
0
3
L
26.05.26
CUP
Mariehamn
Lahti
0
1
L
16.05.26
VEI
Mariehamn
KuPS
1
1
D
13.05.26
CUP
Mariehamn
PuiU
3
0
W
02.05.26
VEI
Mariehamn
VPS
0
1
L
18.04.26
VEI
Mariehamn
Ilves
2
2
D
04.04.26
VEI
Mariehamn
TPS
1
1
D
27.03.26
CF
Mariehamn
Ekenas
3
2
W
05.03.26
LC
Mariehamn
Lahti
4
0
W
Inter Turku Away
17.06.26
VEI
HJK
Inter Turku
3
3
D
10.06.26
CUP
SJK
Inter Turku
1
2
W
30.05.26
VEI
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
20.05.26
VEI
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
W
16.05.26
VEI
SJK
Inter Turku
1
3
W
05.05.26
VEI
Gnistan
Inter Turku
2
0
L
18.04.26
VEI
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
W
28.03.26
CF
Sirius
Inter Turku
0
1
W
08.03.26
CF
Odd
Inter Turku
1
0
L
07.02.26
LC
TPS
Inter Turku
0
3
W
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 27th June 2026, Mariehamn host Inter Turku at Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn) in Finland Veikkausliiga. Our analysis points to Inter Turku to win as the standout bet.

Mariehamn come into this going through a difficult run, with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Inter Turku are inconsistent on the road — 6W 4D 0L in 10 games, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1 per match.

Historically, Mariehamn have won 2 of the last 10 meetings against Inter Turku, who have taken 6 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 20% of those games, averaging 2 goals.

With all factors considered, inter turku to win at 1.32 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Finland Veikkausliiga fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Wiklöf Holding Arena (Mariehamn) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 1 win, 4 draws from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 2 at @1.32, which we make roughly a 20,30,50% shout. Kick-off is 3:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Mariehamn vs Inter Turku?
Our top pick is 2 — Inter Turku to win at around 1.32. Confidence: 56%.
What is Mariehamn's recent form?
Mariehamn have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Inter Turku been performing?
Inter Turku: 6W 4D 0L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Mariehamn 2 wins vs Inter Turku's 6, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.
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