Tip LOST  ·  Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 H. Beer Sheva
🏆 Israel Ligat Ha'al 📅 Tuesday, 28th April 2026
MAC
Maccabi Tel Aviv
W W W L W
1-0
VS
H.
H. Beer Sheva
D W W W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.14
~90% implied
Confidence
82%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals @1.14
Goals Over 2.5 75%
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+2.3%
edge
Fair Price
Market implies 87.7%, we estimate 90%. The price is roughly in line — bet on conviction, not on edge alone.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 18.6% $186.00
Half Kelly 9.3% $93.00
Quarter Kelly 4.7% $47.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Maccabi Tel Aviv
W L L L W W D L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
H. Beer Sheva
D W W W D D W W W W
🔥 Hot 4 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Maccabi Tel Aviv4W
Draw2
H. Beer Sheva4W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 60% of H2H meetings (avg 2.4).
📈 Recent Form
Maccabi Tel Aviv wins5/10
H. Beer Sheva wins7/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals2.4
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 90% of recent games.
5-1-4
Maccabi Tel Aviv form
7-3-0
H. Beer Sheva form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Overall
5.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.7
H. Beer Sheva
Overall
7.9
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.0
Key Analytics
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.2
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
H. Beer Sheva
2.2
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 38%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
Match History
Head to Head
12.04.26
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
H. Beer Sheva
1
3
07.12.25
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
0
13.07.25
SC
Maccabi Tel Aviv
H. Beer Sheva
1
2
05.05.25
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
H. Beer Sheva
1
1
31.03.25
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
3
01.01.25
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2
2
14.09.24
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
H. Beer Sheva
1
0
18.05.24
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
H. Beer Sheva
3
0
15.04.24
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
0
24.02.24
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
H. Beer Sheva
1
0
Recent Results
Maccabi Tel Aviv
25.04.26
LH
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
3
W
19.04.26
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1
0
W
15.04.26
SC
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
3
2
W
12.04.26
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
H. Beer Sheva
1
3
L
05.04.26
LH
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
4
W
21.02.26
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
SC Ashdod
3
2
W
16.02.26
LH
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0
0
D
09.02.26
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4
0
W
05.02.26
SC
Maccabi Jaffa
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0
5
W
02.02.26
LH
Kiryat Shmona
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1
4
W
H. Beer Sheva
25.04.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
2
2
D
18.04.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
3
0
W
12.04.26
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv
H. Beer Sheva
1
3
W
09.04.26
SC
H. Beer Sheva
Bnei Yehuda (2 - 2)
3
2
W
04.04.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1
1
D
22.02.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Hapoel Haifa
1
1
D
14.02.26
LH
SC Ashdod
H. Beer Sheva
1
2
W
09.02.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
2
1
W
04.02.26
SC
Maccabi Bnei Raina
H. Beer Sheva
0
3
W
31.01.26
LH
Maccabi Bnei Raina
H. Beer Sheva
0
2
W
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 28th April 2026, Maccabi Tel Aviv host H. Beer Sheva in Israel Ligat Ha'al. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.

Maccabi Tel Aviv come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

H. Beer Sheva are travelling well — 7W 3D 0L in 10 games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 4 of the last 10 meetings against H. Beer Sheva, who have taken 4 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.4 goals.

With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.14 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Israel Ligat Ha’al clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 1.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.14. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.14. Confidence: 82%.
What is Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent form?
Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has H. Beer Sheva been performing?
H. Beer Sheva: 7W 3D 0L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Maccabi Tel Aviv 4 wins vs H. Beer Sheva's 4, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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