Tip WON  ·  Levadia 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Wednesday, 8th April 2026
LEV
Levadia
D D W W L
2-1
VS
PAR
Parnu JK Vaprus
L L L W W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Levadia to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.20
~50% implied
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Levadia to win @1.20
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 90%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-33.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 83.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -33.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Levadia
D D W W L W D W L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Parnu JK Vaprus
L L L W W L W L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Levadia6W
Draw3
Parnu JK Vaprus1W
Supports Tip Levadia won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Levadia wins4/10
Parnu JK Vaprus wins4/10
Goals per game4.1
H2H avg goals3.3
Caution Levadia: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games.
4-4-2
Levadia form
4-0-6
Parnu JK Vaprus form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Levadia
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.0
Parnu JK Vaprus
Overall
4.0
Scoring
8.0
Defence
2.0
Key Analytics
Levadia
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Parnu JK Vaprus
2.4
Goals
scored/game
2.4
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head
24.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia
Pärnu JK Vaprus
3
2
26.10.25
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus
FCI Levadia
1
3
22.08.25
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
Pärnu JK Vaprus
1
3
28.05.25
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
Pärnu JK Vaprus
2
2
15.03.25
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus
FCI Levadia
1
2
22.09.24
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
Pärnu JK Vaprus
3
1
10.08.24
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus
FCI Levadia
1
4
19.05.24
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus
FCI Levadia
0
2
20.04.24
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
Pärnu JK Vaprus
1
1
01.11.23
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
Pärnu JK Vaprus
0
0
Recent Results
Levadia
04.04.26
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
FC Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
Paide Linnameeskond
2
2
D
15.03.26
Meistriliiga: Harju JK Laagri
FCI Levadia
1
3
W
08.03.26
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia
FC Kuressaare
2
0
W
14.02.26
Friendly: FC Flora
FCI Levadia
1
0
L
08.02.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia
JK Tammeka Tartu
4
2
W
31.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia
JK Narva Trans
0
0
D
24.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia
Pärnu JK Vaprus
3
2
W
18.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia
FC Nõmme United
2
4
L
08.11.25
Meistriliiga: Harju JK Laagri
FCI Levadia
2
2
D
Parnu JK Vaprus
04.04.26
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus
Harju JK Laagri
0
2
L
21.03.26
Meistriliiga: JK Narva Trans
Pärnu JK Vaprus
2
1
L
14.03.26
Meistriliiga: FC Nõmme United
Pärnu JK Vaprus
7
1
L
10.03.26
Cup Estonia: Pärnu JK Vaprus
Tartu JK Welco
2
1
W
07.03.26
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus
Paide Linnameeskond
3
2
W
15.02.26
Friendly: Pärnu JK Vaprus
JK Narva Trans
0
2
L
08.02.26
Friendly: JK Tallinna Kalev
Pärnu JK Vaprus
0
6
W
04.02.26
Friendly: Pärnu JK Vaprus
FK Metta
0
3
L
31.01.26
Friendly: Pärnu JK Vaprus
FC Kuressaare
9
2
W
24.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia
Pärnu JK Vaprus
3
2
L
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 8th April 2026, Levadia host Parnu JK Vaprus in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Levadia to win as the standout bet.

Levadia come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Parnu JK Vaprus are inconsistent on the road — 4W 0D 6L in 10 games, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.4 per match.

Historically, Levadia have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Parnu JK Vaprus, who have taken 1 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 3.3 goals.

With all factors considered, levadia to win at 1.20 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Meistriliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.20. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Our top pick is 1 — Levadia to win at around 1.20. Confidence: 50%.
What is Levadia's recent form?
Levadia have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Parnu JK Vaprus been performing?
Parnu JK Vaprus: 4W 0D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Levadia 6 wins vs Parnu JK Vaprus's 1, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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