On Saturday, 20th June 2026, Levadia host Kalju at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Levadia to win as the standout bet.

Levadia come into this in strong form, with 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Kalju are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.1 per match.

Historically, Levadia have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Kalju, who have taken 2 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, levadia to win at 1.33 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Alright, let’s get into this one properly, because there’s actually a lot to unpack with this Es match. The betting market has priced it one way, but when you sit down and work through the detail, a clearer picture starts to emerge — and it doesn’t always line up with what the odds are suggesting at first glance.

The home side’s season form reads W-W-W-W-W, which is what’s been anchoring their market position. But we always want to understand what’s driving that number rather than just accepting it. So we look at the last five at home. That sequence shows us exactly which phase of the season this team is in. Are they building nicely into the second half of the campaign, or have they been running on empty after a strong start? The recent five is your answer, not the overall tally.

For the visitors, their L-D-L-W-W away record has been sitting in the background. It’s useful context, but again — we go to the last five away to get a true sense of how they’re moving around right now. When a team starts the season strongly on the road and then quietly drops off, the market sometimes takes weeks to fully reflect that. The same works in reverse. A team that’s sharpened up on the road recently can be underpriced if the seasonal record doesn’t look spectacular yet.

When these two clubs have met before, the head-to-head has shown us:

Head-to-Head Record:

12.04.26 (ML) Kalju 1 – 1 Levadia
21.09.25 (ML) Kalju 2 – 1 Levadia
21.06.25 (ML) Levadia 3 – 1 Kalju
24.05.25 (CUP) Kalju 3 – 3 Levadia (Pen 4 – 1)
04.05.25 (ML) Kalju 2 – 0 Levadia
30.03.25 (ML) Levadia 2 – 1 Kalju
22.02.25 (SC) Levadia 3 – 2 Kalju
27.10.24 (ML) Kalju 0 – 4 Levadia
25.08.24 (ML) Levadia 3 – 0 Kalju
12.05.24 (ML) Levadia 0 – 0 Kalju

That’s worth noting because certain matchups carry patterns — one team tends to control the tempo, one team tends to be unusually vulnerable to how the other sets up. The data doesn’t lie.

With the game set for 3:00 pm at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn), factoring in everything above, we’re backing 1 at @@1.33. The probability assessment lands at 50,30,20%, which is exactly in line with the kind of confidence level we look for before recommending anything. Swing by our other tips today — we’ve covered plenty of other fixtures worth a look.