Tip WON  ·  Kuressaare 0-2 Kalju
🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Sunday, 17th May 2026
KUR
Kuressaare
L L L L W
0-2
VS
KAL
Kalju
L W L W L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Kalju to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.33
~50% implied
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-25.2%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.2% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.2% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Kuressaare
L L L L W W L L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Kalju
W W L W L D W W W W
🔥 Hot 4 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Kuressaare0W
Draw0
Kalju10W
Supports Tip Kalju won 10 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Kuressaare wins3/10
Kalju wins7/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals3.3
Supports Tip Kalju: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games.
3-0-7
Kuressaare form
7-1-2
Kalju form
20%
H2H BTTS rate
3.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Kuressaare
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.0
Kalju
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.0
Key Analytics
Kuressaare
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.8
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Kalju
2.2
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 3%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Away Win & BTTS No 33%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 26%
Match History
Head to Head
21.03.26
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
25.10.25
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
1
31.08.25
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
2
0
18.05.25
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
12.04.25
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
2
02.11.24
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
1
2
18.08.24
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
5
1
18.05.24
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
3
0
02.03.24
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
6
26.09.23
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
2
Recent Results
Kuressaare
08.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
02.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Levadia
1
2
L
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
1
L
21.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
ML
Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
W
11.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Harju JK Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
1
L
03.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
L
14.03.26
ML
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
Kalju
10.05.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
0
1
L
01.05.26
ML
Narva
Kalju
0
3
W
26.04.26
ML
Kalju
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
ML
Kalju
Nomme Utd
7
1
W
19.04.26
ML
Paide
Kalju
1
0
L
12.04.26
ML
Kalju
Levadia
1
1
D
08.04.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Kalju
0
2
W
03.04.26
ML
Kalju
Narva
2
1
W
21.03.26
ML
Kalju
Kuressaare
4
0
W
15.03.26
ML
Flora
Kalju
0
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 17th May 2026, Kuressaare host Kalju in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Kalju to win as the standout bet.

Kuressaare come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Kalju are travelling well — 7W 1D 2L in 10 games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6 per match.

Historically, Kuressaare have won 0 of the last 10 meetings against Kalju, who have taken 10 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 20% of those games, averaging 3.3 goals.

With all factors considered, kalju to win at 1.33 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Estonia Meistriliiga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 2, which offers fantastic value at @1.33. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Kuressaare vs Kalju?
Our top pick is 2 — Kalju to win at around 1.33. Confidence: 68%.
What is Kuressaare's recent form?
Kuressaare have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Kalju been performing?
Kalju: 7W 1D 2L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Kuressaare 0 wins vs Kalju's 10, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.
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