🏆 Estonia Meistriliiga 📅 Saturday, 7th February 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare) ⏳ —
KUR
Kuressaare
L D W D W
VS
FLO
Flora
W L W L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Flora to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.27
~50% implied
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — Flora to win @1.27
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-28.7%
edge
No Value
Market implies 78.7% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -28.7% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Kuressaare
L D W D W L L L L L
🥶 Cold 5 in a row
Momentum 0%
Flora
W L W L W W W W W W
🔥 Hot 6 in a row
Momentum 100%
⚔ Head to Head
Kuressaare0W
Draw1
Flora9W
Supports Tip Flora won 9 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Kuressaare wins2/10
Flora wins8/10
Goals per game2.7
H2H avg goals3.5
Supports Tip Flora: 8W 0D 2L from 10 games.
2-2-6
Kuressaare form
8-0-2
Flora form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Kuressaare
Overall
2.6
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.7
Flora
Overall
8.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.3
Key Analytics
Kuressaare
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Flora
2.5
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Home Win & BTTS No 9%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Away Win & BTTS No 37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 44%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
Match History
Head to Head
07.04.26
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
1
01.11.25
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
2
0
24.08.25
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
1
2
27.05.25
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
1
3
29.03.25
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
5
0
26.10.24
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
3
0
14.09.24
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
3
4
21.05.24
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
1
0
27.04.24
ML
Kuressaare
Flora
2
2
07.10.23
ML
Flora
Kuressaare
3
0
Recent Results
Kuressaare
26.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
L
16.06.26
ML
Kuressaare
Narva
0
0
D
13.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
W
31.05.26
ML
Paide
Kuressaare
1
1
D
20.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
2
1
W
17.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
2
L
08.05.26
ML
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
L
02.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Levadia
1
2
L
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Kuressaare
2
1
L
21.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
1
L
Flora
28.06.26
ML
Levadia
Flora
1
2
W
21.06.26
ML
Flora
Paide
1
2
L
16.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
1
2
W
13.06.26
ML
Flora
Levadia
1
3
L
29.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
0
4
W
23.05.26
CUP
Paide
Flora
1
5
W
16.05.26
ML
Narva
Flora
0
3
W
10.05.26
ML
Kalju
Flora
0
1
W
05.05.26
CUP
Flora
Narva
1
0
W
30.04.26
ML
Flora
Harju JK Laagri
5
0
W
Venue Records
Kuressaare at Home
16.06.26
ML
Kuressaare
Narva
0
0
D
20.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Nomme Utd
2
1
W
17.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Kalju
0
2
L
02.05.26
ML
Kuressaare
Levadia
1
2
L
21.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Parnu JK Vaprus
0
1
L
11.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Harju JK Laagri
3
2
W
03.04.26
ML
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
14.03.26
ML
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
21.02.26
CF
Kuressaare
Narva
2
2
D
14.02.26
CF
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
2
0
W
Flora Away
28.06.26
ML
Levadia
Flora
1
2
W
16.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
Flora
1
2
W
29.05.26
ML
Nomme Utd
Flora
0
4
W
23.05.26
CUP
Paide
Flora
1
5
W
16.05.26
ML
Narva
Flora
0
3
W
10.05.26
ML
Kalju
Flora
0
1
W
26.04.26
ML
Paide
Flora
1
2
W
19.04.26
ML
Levadia
Flora
4
0
L
03.04.26
ML
Tammeka
Flora
3
1
L
22.03.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri
Flora
2
0
L
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 7th February 2026, Kuressaare host Flora at Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare) in Estonia Meistriliiga. Our analysis points to Flora to win as the standout bet.

Kuressaare come into this going through a difficult run, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Flora are travelling well — 8W 0D 2L in 10 games, scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.8 per match.

Historically, Kuressaare have won 0 of the last 10 meetings against Flora, who have taken 9 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.5 goals.

With all factors considered, flora to win at 1.27 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Estonia Meistriliiga fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 2 at @1.27, which we make roughly a 80% shout. Kick-off is 5:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Kuressaare vs Flora?
Our top pick is 2 — Flora to win at around 1.27. Confidence: 68%.
What is Kuressaare's recent form?
Kuressaare have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Flora been performing?
Flora: 8W 0D 2L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Kuressaare 0 wins vs Flora's 9, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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