Tip WON  ·  Kauno Zalgiris 5-0 Hegelmann
🏆 Lithuania TopLyga 📅 Saturday, 11th April 2026
KAU
Kauno Zalgiris
W D W W W
5-0
VS
HEG
Hegelmann
W D D D D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Kauno Zalgiris to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.35
~50% implied
Confidence
67%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win @1.35
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-24.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Kauno Zalgiris
W D W W W W W W W W
🔥 Hot 8 in a row
Momentum 100%
Hegelmann
W D D D D D L W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Kauno Zalgiris7W
Draw2
Hegelmann1W
Supports Tip Kauno Zalgiris won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Kauno Zalgiris wins9/10
Hegelmann wins2/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals3.3
Supports Tip Kauno Zalgiris: 9W 1D 0L from 10 games.
9-1-0
Kauno Zalgiris form
2-5-3
Hegelmann form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Kauno Zalgiris
Overall
9.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
8.3
Hegelmann
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.7
Key Analytics
Kauno Zalgiris
2.3
Goals
scored/game
0.5
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Hegelmann
0.9
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
Match History
Head to Head
01.10.25
TOPLYGA: Hegelmann
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
27.08.25
TOPLYGA: Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann
2
1
19.06.25
TOPLYGA: Hegelmann
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
16.04.25
TOPLYGA: Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann
3
1
24.08.24
TOPLYGA: Hegelmann
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
23.06.24
TOPLYGA: Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann
4
1
28.04.24
TOPLYGA: Hegelmann
Kauno Žalgiris
0
1
09.03.24
TOPLYGA: Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann
1
2
12.11.23
TOPLYGA: Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann
4
2
29.10.23
TOPLYGA: Kauno Žalgiris
Hegelmann
4
0
Recent Results
Kauno Zalgiris
05.04.26
TOPLYGA: FK Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
0
3
W
21.03.26
TOPLYGA: Kauno Žalgiris
FK Sūduva
1
1
D
15.03.26
TOPLYGA: FA Šiauliai
Kauno Žalgiris
0
5
W
10.03.26
TOPLYGA: Kauno Žalgiris
FK Panevėžys
4
0
W
07.03.26
TOPLYGA: FC Džiugas
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
W
28.02.26
TOPLYGA: Kauno Žalgiris
Banga Gargždai
1
0
W
23.02.26
TOPLYGA: FK Riteriai
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
W
16.02.26
Supercup: Kauno Žalgiris
FK Panevėžys
1
0
W
06.02.26
Friendly: Kauno Žalgiris
Zimbru Chișinău
2
1
W
03.02.26
Friendly: Esbjerg fB
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
W
Hegelmann
04.04.26
TOPLYGA: Hegelmann
TransINVEST
3
1
W
22.03.26
TOPLYGA: Hegelmann
FK Žalgiris
0
0
D
14.03.26
TOPLYGA: FK Sūduva
Hegelmann
0
0
D
11.03.26
TOPLYGA: Hegelmann
FA Šiauliai
1
1
D
07.03.26
TOPLYGA: FK Panevėžys
Hegelmann
1
1
D
28.02.26
TOPLYGA: Hegelmann
FC Džiugas
1
1
D
22.02.26
TOPLYGA: Hegelmann
Banga Gargždai
0
2
L
15.02.26
Friendly: Hegelmann
Grobiņa SC
2
1
W
08.02.26
Friendly: FK Žalgiris
Hegelmann
1
0
L
03.02.26
Friendly: BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 11th April 2026, Kauno Zalgiris host Hegelmann in Lithuania TopLyga. Our analysis points to Kauno Zalgiris to win as the standout bet.

Kauno Zalgiris come into this in strong form, with 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game.

Hegelmann are struggling away from home — 2W 5D 3L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1 per match.

Historically, Kauno Zalgiris have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Hegelmann, who have taken 1 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 3.3 goals.

With all factors considered, kauno zalgiris to win at 1.35 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Lithuania TopLyga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.35. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann?
Our top pick is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win at around 1.35. Confidence: 67%.
What is Kauno Zalgiris's recent form?
Kauno Zalgiris have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Hegelmann been performing?
Hegelmann: 2W 5D 3L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Kauno Zalgiris 7 wins vs Hegelmann's 1, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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