Tip WON  ·  Jong Ajax 1-2 Oss
🏆 Eerste Divisie 📅 Monday, 13th April 2026
JON
Jong Ajax
L L L W W
1-2
VS
OSS
Oss
W L W D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.39
~90% implied
Confidence
72%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.39
Goals Under 2.5 94%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 93%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+18.1%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 71.9% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +18.1% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 64.4% $644.00
Half Kelly 32.2% $322.00
Quarter Kelly 16.1% $161.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Jong Ajax
L D L W L D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
Oss
L L L W W L W D W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Jong Ajax2W
Draw4
Oss4W
Against Over 2.5 goals in 40% of H2H meetings (avg 2.2).
📈 Recent Form
Jong Ajax wins1/8
Oss wins4/10
Goals per game0.3
H2H avg goals2.2
Caution Over 2.5 goals in 6% of recent games.
1-2-5
Jong Ajax form
4-1-5
Oss form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
2.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Jong Ajax
Overall
2.0
Scoring
0.8
Defence
8.8
Oss
Overall
4.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Key Analytics
Jong Ajax
0.3
Goals
scored/game
0.4
Goals
conceded/game
13%
Clean
sheets
Oss
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 1%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 54%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 1%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 1%
Draw & Under 2.5 23%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 54%
Match History
Head to Head
21.10.25
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
TOP Oss
1
1
09.05.25
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
TOP Oss
0
0
13.12.24
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss
Jong Ajax
2
1
16.02.24
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss
Jong Ajax
2
1
24.11.23
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
TOP Oss
1
0
06.03.23
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
TOP Oss
1
2
09.09.22
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss
Jong Ajax
1
1
04.04.22
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
TOP Oss
4
1
10.12.21
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss
Jong Ajax
1
1
09.04.21
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
TOP Oss
0
1
Recent Results
Jong Ajax
06.04.26
Eerste Divisie: Telstar
TOP Oss
3
1
L
30.03.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss
Jong PSV
0
0
D
23.03.26
Eerste Divisie: Helmond Sport
TOP Oss
2
1
L
13.03.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss
ADO Den Haag
2
1
W
06.03.26
Eerste Divisie: MVV Maastricht
TOP Oss
3
1
L
27.02.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss
FC Den Bosch
1
1
D
20.02.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Emmen
TOP Oss
2
1
L
13.02.26
Eerste Divisie: TOP Oss
Jong AZ
3
2
W
Oss
06.04.26
Eerste Divisie: Vitesse
Jong Ajax
6
1
L
03.04.26
Eerste Divisie: ADO Den Haag
Jong Ajax
4
2
L
20.03.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
Almere City
0
2
L
17.03.26
Eerste Divisie: VVV-Venlo
Jong Ajax
0
1
W
13.03.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
FC Den Bosch
3
2
W
06.03.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Eindhoven
Jong Ajax
2
1
L
27.02.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
Helmond Sport
5
1
W
23.02.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Emmen
Jong Ajax
0
0
D
20.02.26
Eerste Divisie: FC Dordrecht
Jong Ajax
0
1
W
16.02.26
Eerste Divisie: Jong Ajax
SC Cambuur
1
2
L
Expert Analysis

On Monday, 13th April 2026, Jong Ajax host Oss in Eerste Divisie. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Jong Ajax come into this going through a difficult run, with 1 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from their last 8 matches. They average 0.3 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game.

Oss are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 per match.

Historically, Jong Ajax have won 2 of the last 10 meetings against Oss, who have taken 4 victories, with 4 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 2.2 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.39 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Eerste Divisie clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.39. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Jong Ajax vs Oss?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.39. Confidence: 72%.
What is Jong Ajax's recent form?
Jong Ajax have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 8 — poor form.
How has Oss been performing?
Oss: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Jong Ajax 2 wins vs Oss's 4, with 4 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 0.3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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