Tip WON  ·  Esperance Tunis 1-0 AS Marsa
🏆 Tunisian League 📅 Saturday, 7th March 2026
ESP
Esperance Tunis
W D W W W
1-0
VS
AS
AS Marsa
L W L L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Esperance Tunis to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.19
~60% implied
Confidence
65%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Esperance Tunis to win @1.19
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 80%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet Home CS 60%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-24%
edge
No Value
Market implies 84% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -24% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Esperance Tunis
W D L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
AS Marsa
L W L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Esperance Tunis4W
Draw1
AS Marsa0W
Supports Tip Esperance Tunis won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Esperance Tunis wins3/5
AS Marsa wins2/5
Goals per game2.2
H2H avg goals1.4
Supports Tip Esperance Tunis: 3W 1D 1L from 5 games.
3-1-1
Esperance Tunis form
2-0-3
AS Marsa form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
1.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Esperance Tunis
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
8.7
AS Marsa
Overall
4.0
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.3
Key Analytics
Esperance Tunis
1.8
Goals
scored/game
0.4
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
AS Marsa
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 44%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ LP1 (Oct 1, 2025): AS Marsa
Esperance Tunis
0
3
⚽ LP1 (Dec 5, 2023): AS Marsa
Esperance Tunis
0
1
⚽ LP1 (Aug 19, 2023): Esperance Tunis
AS Marsa
1
0
⚽ CUP (Mar 15, 2020): AS Marsa
Esperance Tunis
0
2
⚽ LP1 (Dec 10, 2016): Esperance Tunis
AS Marsa
0
0
Recent Results
Esperance Tunis
⚽ LP1 (Mar 1, 2026): Olympique Beja
Esperance Tunis
0
3
⚽ LP1 (Feb 25, 2026): Metlaoui
Esperance Tunis
1
1
⚽ LP1 (Feb 21, 2026): Esperance Tunis
Stade Tunisien
1
0
⚽ LP1 (Feb 17, 2026): Soliman
Esperance Tunis
0
3
⚽ CL (Feb 14, 2026): Esperance Tunis
Petro Atletico
2
0
AS Marsa
⚽ LP1 (Feb 28, 2026): AS Marsa
Stade Tunisien
0
4
⚽ LP1 (Feb 14, 2026): Soliman
AS Marsa
0
2
⚽ LP1 (Feb 7, 2026): AS Marsa
JS Kairouan
1
2
⚽ LP1 (Feb 1, 2026): Monastir
AS Marsa
1
0
⚽ LP1 (Jan 28, 2026): AS Marsa
AS Gabes
1
0
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 7th March 2026, Esperance Tunis host AS Marsa in Tunisian League. Our analysis points to Esperance Tunis to win as the standout bet.

Esperance Tunis come into this showing mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game.

AS Marsa are inconsistent on the road — 2W 0D 3L in 5 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, Esperance Tunis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against AS Marsa, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 0% of those games, averaging 1.4 goals.

With all factors considered, esperance tunis to win at 1.19 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Esperance Tunis face a critical test of their championship credentials as they welcome AS Marsa to Rades. The pressure of the title race is palpable; with the gap at the top shrinking, every match now carries the weight of a final. Esperance must weaponize their home-field advantage and clinical attacking depth to break down a Marsa side that will likely set up a low block to frustrate them. The hosts have been nearly invincible at home this season and will view anything less than three points as a catastrophic failure in their pursuit of the Tunisian Ligue 1 crown.

AS Marsa arrive at the Hammadi Agrebi Stadium with the weight of a 4-0 loss to Stade Tunisien still fresh in their minds. They must find an immediate response to that heavy defeat if they hope to climb toward mid-table safety. The visitors need to execute a perfect tactical game plan, disrupting Esperance’s rhythm in midfield and relying on quick transitions to catch the leaders off guard. History is heavily stacked against them, but the desperation of the points battle often produces surprises. For Marsa, the goal is simple: survive the early storm and make life as difficult as possible for the giants of Tunisian football

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Esperance Tunis vs AS Marsa?
Our top pick is 1 — Esperance Tunis to win at around 1.19. Confidence: 65%.
What is Esperance Tunis's recent form?
Esperance Tunis have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 — decent form.
How has AS Marsa been performing?
AS Marsa: 2W 0D 3L from 5 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Esperance Tunis 4 wins vs AS Marsa's 0, with 1 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.
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