🏆 Mali Premiere Division 📅 Tuesday, 28th April 2026
DJO
Djoliba
W D W W W
VS
US
US Bougouni
D L D L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Djoliba to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.13
~50% implied
Confidence
59%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Djoliba to win @1.13
Goals Under 2.5 65%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 75%
Djoliba Clean Sheet Home CS 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-38.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 88.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -38.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Djoliba
W D W W W D W D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
US Bougouni
D L D L W L L L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Djoliba5W
Draw1
US Bougouni2W
Supports Tip Djoliba won 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Djoliba wins7/10
US Bougouni wins1/10
Goals per game1.9
H2H avg goals2.4
Supports Tip Djoliba: 7W 3D 0L from 10 games.
7-3-0
Djoliba form
1-3-6
US Bougouni form
25%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Djoliba
Overall
7.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
9.3
US Bougouni
Overall
1.9
Scoring
1.3
Defence
5.3
Key Analytics
Djoliba
1.7
Goals
scored/game
0.2
Goals
conceded/game
80%
Clean
sheets
US Bougouni
0.4
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 48%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 2%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Match History
Head to Head
27.12.25
PD
US Bougouni
Djoliba
0
2
09.03.25
PD
US Bougouni
Djoliba
1
0
30.01.25
PD
Djoliba
US Bougouni
2
0
04.02.24
PD
US Bougouni
Djoliba
2
2
02.11.23
PD
Djoliba
US Bougouni
1
2
27.05.23
PD
US Bougouni
Djoliba
0
2
05.12.22
PD
Djoliba
US Bougouni
2
0
31.05.17
PD
Djoliba
US Bougouni
3
0
Recent Results
Djoliba
15.04.26
PD
Djoliba
Onze Createurs
1
0
W
05.04.26
PD
Djoliba
Stade Malien
0
0
D
29.03.26
PD
Djoliba
Korofina
1
0
W
18.03.26
PD
Bougouba
Djoliba
1
3
W
08.03.26
PD
Derby Academie
Djoliba
0
2
W
04.03.26
PD
Real Bamako
Djoliba
1
1
D
28.02.26
PD
Djoliba
Foot Elite
4
0
W
22.02.26
PD
Djoliba
Diarra
0
0
D
18.02.26
PD
Binga
Djoliba
0
1
W
15.02.26
CON
Djoliba
San Pedro
4
0
W
US Bougouni
15.04.26
PD
US Bougouni
Foot Elite
0
0
D
04.04.26
PD
Korofina
US Bougouni
2
1
L
17.03.26
PD
US Bougouni
Real Bamako
1
1
D
07.03.26
PD
Diarra
US Bougouni
1
0
L
27.02.26
PD
Binga
US Bougouni
0
1
W
07.02.26
PD
US Bougouni
Bakaridjan
0
2
L
31.01.26
PD
USFAS Bamako
US Bougouni
3
0
L
24.01.26
PD
US Bougouni
Mali Coura
0
3
L
21.01.26
PD
US Bougouni
Derby Academie
0
0
D
16.01.26
PD
Onze Createurs
US Bougouni
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 28th April 2026, Djoliba host US Bougouni in Mali Premiere Division. Our analysis points to Djoliba to win as the standout bet.

Djoliba come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game.

US Bougouni are struggling away from home — 1W 3D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, Djoliba have won 5 of the last 8 meetings against US Bougouni, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 25% of those games, averaging 2.4 goals.

With all factors considered, djoliba to win at 1.13 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Mali Premiere Division clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.13. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Djoliba vs US Bougouni?
Our top pick is 1 — Djoliba to win at around 1.13. Confidence: 59%.
What is Djoliba's recent form?
Djoliba have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has US Bougouni been performing?
US Bougouni: 1W 3D 6L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Djoliba 5 wins vs US Bougouni's 2, with 1 draws in 8 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 25%.
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