Tip WON  ·  Como 1-0 Parma
🏆 Serie A 📅 Sunday, 17th May 2026
COM
Como
W D W L L
1-0
VS
PAR
Parma
L L W W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Como to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.35
~50% implied
Confidence
42%
Value Play
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-24.1%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.1% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.1% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Como
W D W L L L D W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 60%
Parma
L L W W D D L L D D
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Como2W
Draw5
Parma3W
Against Como won 2 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Como wins5/10
Parma wins2/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals2.4
Mixed Como: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games.
5-2-3
Como form
2-4-4
Parma form
60%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Como
Overall
5.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Parma
Overall
3.2
Scoring
2.7
Defence
5.3
Key Analytics
Como
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Parma
0.8
Goals
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head
25.10.25
SA
Parma
Como
0
0
03.05.25
SA
Parma
Como
0
1
19.10.24
SA
Como
Parma
1
1
24.02.24
SB
Como
Parma
1
1
20.10.23
SB
Parma
Como
2
1
18.03.23
SB
Como
Parma
2
0
29.10.22
SB
Parma
Como
1
0
06.04.22
SB
Parma
Como
4
3
28.11.21
SB
Como
Parma
1
1
09.02.03
SA
Como
Parma
2
2
Recent Results
Como
10.05.26
SA
Verona
Como
0
1
W
02.05.26
SA
Como
Napoli
0
0
D
26.04.26
SA
Genoa
Como
0
2
W
21.04.26
COP
Inter
Como
3
2
L
17.04.26
SA
Sassuolo
Como
2
1
L
12.04.26
SA
Como
Inter
3
4
L
06.04.26
SA
Udinese
Como
0
0
D
22.03.26
SA
Como
Pisa
5
0
W
15.03.26
SA
Como
AS Roma
2
1
W
07.03.26
SA
Cagliari
Como
1
2
W
Parma
10.05.26
SA
Parma
AS Roma
2
3
L
03.05.26
SA
Inter
Parma
2
0
L
25.04.26
SA
Parma
Pisa
1
0
W
18.04.26
SA
Udinese
Parma
0
1
W
12.04.26
SA
Parma
Napoli
1
1
D
04.04.26
SA
Lazio
Parma
1
1
D
21.03.26
SA
Parma
Cremonese
0
2
L
13.03.26
SA
Torino
Parma
4
1
L
08.03.26
SA
Fiorentina
Parma
0
0
D
27.02.26
SA
Parma
Cagliari
1
1
D
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 17th May 2026, Como host Parma in Serie A. Our analysis points to Como to win as the standout bet.

Como come into this showing mixed form, with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Parma are struggling away from home — 2W 4D 4L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4 per match.

Historically, Como have won 2 of the last 10 meetings against Parma, who have taken 3 victories, with 5 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 2.4 goals.

With all factors considered, como to win at 1.35 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Serie A clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.35. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Como vs Parma?
Our top pick is 1 — Como to win at around 1.35. Confidence: 42%.
What is Como's recent form?
Como have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Parma been performing?
Parma: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Como 2 wins vs Parma's 3, with 5 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.
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