Tip WON  ·  Chelsea W 4-3 Aston Villa W
🏆 WSL 📅 Sunday, 29th March 2026
CHE
Chelsea W
L D W W W
4-3
VS
AST
Aston Villa W
W D L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Chelsea W to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.21
~60% implied
Confidence
70%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Chelsea W to win @1.21
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-22.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 82.6% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -22.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Chelsea W
L D W W W W W L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Aston Villa W
W D L L L L L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Chelsea W10W
Draw0
Aston Villa W0W
Supports Tip Chelsea W won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Chelsea W wins6/10
Aston Villa W wins3/10
Goals per game3.4
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip Chelsea W: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
6-1-3
Chelsea W form
3-1-6
Aston Villa W form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Chelsea W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
Aston Villa W
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
1.0
Key Analytics
Chelsea W
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Aston Villa W
1.4
Goals
scored/game
2.7
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head
14.09.25
WSL: Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
02.02.25
WSL: Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
1
20.09.24
WSL: Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
0
17.04.24
WSL: Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
0
04.11.23
WSL: Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
6
16.04.23
FAC: Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
1
02.04.23
WSL: Aston Villa
Chelsea
0
3
30.10.22
WSL: Chelsea
Aston Villa
3
1
13.03.22
WSL: Chelsea
Aston Villa
1
0
29.01.22
FAC: Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
3
Recent Results
Chelsea W
24.03.26
UWCL: Arsenal
Chelsea
3
1
L
21.03.26
WSL: London City Lionesses
Chelsea
1
1
D
18.03.26
WSL: Chelsea
Brighton
2
1
W
15.03.26
WLC: Chelsea
Man United
2
0
W
22.02.26
FAC: Chelsea
Man United
2
1
W
15.02.26
WSL: Chelsea
Liverpool
2
0
W
08.02.26
WSL: Tottenham
Chelsea
0
2
W
01.02.26
WSL: Man City
Chelsea
5
1
L
24.01.26
WSL: Chelsea
Arsenal
0
2
L
21.01.26
WLC: Man City
Chelsea
0
1
W
Aston Villa W
22.03.26
WSL: Leicester City
Aston Villa
1
2
W
15.03.26
WSL: Aston Villa
Man City
0
0
D
15.02.26
WSL: Aston Villa
Tottenham
3
7
L
08.02.26
WSL: Liverpool
Aston Villa
4
1
L
01.02.26
WSL: Everton
Aston Villa
2
1
L
25.01.26
WSL: Aston Villa
Man United
1
4
L
18.01.26
FAC: Arsenal
Aston Villa
2
0
L
11.01.26
WSL: Aston Villa
Brighton
2
1
W
14.12.25
WSL: Man City
Aston Villa
6
1
L
11.12.25
WSL: Aston Villa
Liverpool
3
0
W
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, Chelsea W host Aston Villa W in WSL. Our analysis points to Chelsea W to win as the standout bet.

Chelsea W come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Aston Villa W are struggling away from home — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.7 per match.

Historically, Chelsea W have won 10 of the last 10 meetings against Aston Villa W, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, chelsea w to win at 1.21 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this WSL clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.21. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Chelsea W vs Aston Villa W?
Our top pick is 1 — Chelsea W to win at around 1.21. Confidence: 70%.
What is Chelsea W's recent form?
Chelsea W have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Aston Villa W been performing?
Aston Villa W: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Chelsea W 10 wins vs Aston Villa W's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
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