Tip LOST  ·  Bohemians 1-1 Waterford
🏆 Ireland Premier Division 📅 Monday, 6th April 2026
BOH
Bohemians
D D D W W
1-1
VS
WAT
Waterford
D L L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Bohemians to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.29
~50% implied
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Bohemians to win @1.29
Goals Under 2.5 65%
Bohemians Clean Sheet Home CS 70%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-27.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 77.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -27.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Bohemians
D D D W W W W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Waterford
D L L L L L D L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Bohemians5W
Draw1
Waterford4W
Mixed Bohemians won 5 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Bohemians wins6/10
Waterford wins0/10
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals3.1
Supports Tip Bohemians: 6W 4D 0L from 10 games.
6-4-0
Bohemians form
0-3-7
Waterford form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
3.1
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Bohemians
Overall
7.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
8.7
Waterford
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.7
Defence
2.0
Key Analytics
Bohemians
1.5
Goals
scored/game
0.4
Goals
conceded/game
70%
Clean
sheets
Waterford
0.8
Goals
scored/game
2.4
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 22%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 41%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
06.03.26
PD: Waterford
Bohemians
0
1
30.01.26
CF: Waterford
Bohemians
1
4
19.09.25
PD: Bohemians
Waterford
2
1
20.06.25
PD: Waterford
Bohemians
2
1
02.05.25
PD: Bohemians
Waterford
1
2
07.03.25
PD: Waterford
Bohemians
0
3
01.02.25
CF: Waterford
Bohemians
1
2
25.10.24
PD: Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
09.08.24
PD: Bohemians
Waterford
2
3
31.05.24
PD: Waterford
Bohemians
2
1
Recent Results
Bohemians
03.04.26
PD: Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
20.03.26
PD: Bohemians
Dundalk FC
1
1
D
16.03.26
PD: Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
13.03.26
PD: Bohemians
Galway United
1
0
W
06.03.26
PD: Waterford FC
Bohemians
0
1
W
27.02.26
PD: Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
3
2
W
20.02.26
PD: Derry City
Bohemians
0
1
W
14.02.26
PD: Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
0
4
W
08.02.26
PD: Bohemians
St Patrick’s
0
0
D
30.01.26
CF: Waterford FC
Bohemians
1
4
W
Waterford
03.04.26
PD: Waterford FC
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
20.03.26
PD: Waterford FC
St Patrick’s
0
2
L
16.03.26
PD: Galway United
Waterford FC
4
3
L
13.03.26
PD: Dundalk FC
Waterford FC
5
0
L
06.03.26
PD: Waterford FC
Bohemians
0
1
L
27.02.26
PD: Derry City
Waterford FC
4
2
L
20.02.26
PD: Waterford FC
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
13.02.26
PD: Drogheda United
Waterford FC
2
0
L
06.02.26
PD: Waterford FC
Shelbourne
1
1
D
30.01.26
CF: Waterford FC
Bohemians
1
4
L
Expert Analysis

On Monday, 6th April 2026, Bohemians host Waterford in Ireland Premier Division. Our analysis points to Bohemians to win as the standout bet.

Bohemians come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game.

Waterford are struggling away from home — 0W 3D 7L in 10 games, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.4 per match.

Historically, Bohemians have won 5 of the last 10 meetings against Waterford, who have taken 4 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 3.1 goals.

With all factors considered, bohemians to win at 1.29 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Ireland Premier Division clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.29. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Bohemians vs Waterford?
Our top pick is 1 — Bohemians to win at around 1.29. Confidence: 53%.
What is Bohemians's recent form?
Bohemians have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Waterford been performing?
Waterford: 0W 3D 7L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Bohemians 5 wins vs Waterford's 4, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.1 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
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