Tip WON  ·  BFC Daugavpils 0-1 RFS
🏆 Latvia Virsliga 📅 Wednesday, 13th May 2026
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
L D L D W
0-1
VS
RFS
RFS
W W D W W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing RFS to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.34
~50% implied
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — RFS to win @1.34
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-24.6%
edge
No Value
Market implies 74.6% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -24.6% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
BFC Daugavpils
L D L D W W W W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
RFS
W W D W W W W L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
BFC Daugavpils0W
Draw0
RFS10W
Supports Tip RFS won 10 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
BFC Daugavpils wins4/10
RFS wins8/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals4.5
Supports Tip RFS: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games.
4-2-4
BFC Daugavpils form
8-1-1
RFS form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
4.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
BFC Daugavpils
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
RFS
Overall
8.3
Scoring
7.7
Defence
7.0
Key Analytics
BFC Daugavpils
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.7
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
RFS
2.3
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 30%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
Match History
Head to Head
21.03.26
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
28.02.26
CF
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
21.09.25
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
5
1
30.06.25
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
RFS
1
7
09.05.25
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
5
1
15.03.25
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
RFS
1
2
06.10.24
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
RFS
0
3
17.09.24
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
13.07.24
LC
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
2
1
20.05.24
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
5
0
Recent Results
BFC Daugavpils
08.05.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Riga FC
1
3
L
02.05.26
VIR
Grobina
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
27.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
0
1
L
21.04.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
16.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Jelgava
1
0
W
12.04.26
VIR
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
W
07.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
2
1
W
03.04.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
21.03.26
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
L
14.03.26
VIR
Riga FC
BFC Daugavpils
4
2
L
RFS
08.05.26
VIR
RFS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
VIR
Ogre United
RFS
3
4
W
28.04.26
VIR
RFS
Riga FC
3
3
D
22.04.26
VIR
Grobina
RFS
0
1
W
18.04.26
VIR
RFS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
VIR
Tukums 2000
RFS
1
2
W
08.04.26
VIR
Jelgava
RFS
0
1
W
04.04.26
VIR
RFS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
VIR
RFS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
13.03.26
VIR
FK Liepaja
RFS
0
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 13th May 2026, BFC Daugavpils host RFS in Latvia Virsliga. Our analysis points to RFS to win as the standout bet.

BFC Daugavpils come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

RFS are travelling well — 8W 1D 1L in 10 games, scoring 2.3 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, BFC Daugavpils have won 0 of the last 10 meetings against RFS, who have taken 10 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 70% of those games, averaging 4.5 goals.

With all factors considered, rfs to win at 1.34 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Latvia Virsliga clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 2, which offers fantastic value at @1.34. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for BFC Daugavpils vs RFS?
Our top pick is 2 — RFS to win at around 1.34. Confidence: 68%.
What is BFC Daugavpils's recent form?
BFC Daugavpils have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has RFS been performing?
RFS: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
BFC Daugavpils 0 wins vs RFS's 10, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 4.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
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