Tip WON  ·  Benfica 3-0 Vitoria Guimaraes
🏆 Liga Portugal 📅 Saturday, 21st March 2026
BEN
Benfica
W D W L W
3-0
VS
VIT
Vitoria Guimaraes
L L D L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Benfica to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.31
~50% implied
Confidence
58%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Benfica to win @1.31
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 65%
H2H Over 2.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-26.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Benfica
W D W L W L W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Vitoria Guimaraes
L L D L W L W L L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Benfica7W
Draw3
Vitoria Guimaraes0W
Supports Tip Benfica won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Benfica wins6/10
Vitoria Guimaraes wins3/10
Goals per game1.5
H2H avg goals3.4
Supports Tip Benfica: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games.
6-2-2
Benfica form
3-1-6
Vitoria Guimaraes form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
3.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Benfica
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.3
Vitoria Guimaraes
Overall
3.3
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Key Analytics
Benfica
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Vitoria Guimaraes
0
Goals
scored/game
0
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
Match History
Head to Head
01.11.25
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
0
3
19.04.25
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
0
3
07.12.24
LP: Benfica
Vitória Guimarães
1
0
11.02.24
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
2
2
02.09.23
LP: Benfica
Vitória Guimarães
4
0
18.03.23
LP: Benfica
Vitória Guimarães
5
1
01.10.22
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
0
0
27.02.22
LP: Benfica
Vitória Guimarães
3
0
27.10.21
CUP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
3
3
25.09.21
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Benfica
1
3
Recent Results
Benfica
14.03.26
LP: Arouca
Benfica
1
2
W
08.03.26
LP: Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
02.03.26
LP: Gil Vicente
Benfica
1
2
W
25.02.26
CL: Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
L
21.02.26
LP: Benfica
AFS
3
0
W
17.02.26
CL: Benfica
Real Madrid
0
1
L
13.02.26
LP: Santa Clara
Benfica
1
2
W
08.02.26
LP: Benfica
Alverca
2
1
W
01.02.26
LP: Tondela
Benfica
0
0
D
28.01.26
CL: Benfica
Real Madrid
4
2
W
Vitoria Guimaraes
14.03.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Famalicão
1
2
L
08.03.26
LP: Santa Clara
Vitória Guimarães
2
0
L
28.02.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
LP: Braga
Vitória Guimarães
3
2
L
14.02.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Estrela
2
1
W
07.02.26
LP: Arouca
Vitória Guimarães
3
2
L
30.01.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
Moreirense
1
0
W
24.01.26
LP: Estoril
Vitória Guimarães
4
2
L
18.01.26
LP: Vitória Guimarães
FC Porto
0
1
L
10.01.26
CUP: Vitória Guimarães
Braga
2
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, Benfica host Vitoria Guimaraes in Liga Portugal. Our analysis points to Benfica to win as the standout bet.

Benfica come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Vitoria Guimaraes are struggling away from home — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games, scoring 0 and conceding 0 per match.

Historically, Benfica have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Vitoria Guimaraes, who have taken 0 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 3.4 goals.

With all factors considered, benfica to win at 1.31 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Liga Portugal clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.31. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Our top pick is 1 — Benfica to win at around 1.31. Confidence: 58%.
What is Benfica's recent form?
Benfica have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Vitoria Guimaraes been performing?
Vitoria Guimaraes: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Benfica 7 wins vs Vitoria Guimaraes's 0, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 1.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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