Tip WON  ·  Beitar Jerusalem 3-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
🏆 Israel Ligat Ha'al 📅 Tuesday, 28th April 2026
BEI
Beitar Jerusalem
D W W W W
3-1
VS
HAP
Hapoel Petah Tikva
L L D D W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.50
~90% implied
Confidence
72%
Strong Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+23.3%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 66.7% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +23.3% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 70% $700.00
Half Kelly 35% $350.00
Quarter Kelly 17.5% $175.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Beitar Jerusalem
D W W W W D L L D D
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
Hapoel Petah Tikva
W L D D W W W W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Beitar Jerusalem7W
Draw1
Hapoel Petah Tikva2W
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 50% of H2H meetings (avg 2.9).
📈 Recent Form
Beitar Jerusalem wins4/10
Hapoel Petah Tikva wins6/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals2.9
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 55% of recent games.
4-4-2
Beitar Jerusalem form
6-2-2
Hapoel Petah Tikva form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.9
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Beitar Jerusalem
Overall
5.2
Scoring
7.7
Defence
5.7
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Overall
6.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
7.3
Key Analytics
Beitar Jerusalem
2.3
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.1
Goals
scored/game
0.8
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
Match History
Head to Head
17.01.26
LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem
1
3
04.10.25
LH
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah Tikva
5
2
21.04.24
LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem
0
2
30.01.24
LH
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2
2
02.12.23
LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem
1
0
28.02.15
LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem
0
1
04.12.14
LH
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah Tikva
3
1
13.08.14
TOT
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1
2
05.05.12
LH
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2
0
15.01.12
LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Beitar Jerusalem
0
1
Recent Results
Beitar Jerusalem
25.04.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
2
2
D
19.04.26
LH
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Haifa
3
0
W
12.04.26
LH
Hapoel Jerusalem
Beitar Jerusalem
0
2
W
04.04.26
LH
Beitar Jerusalem
Ironi Tiberias
3
2
W
23.02.26
LH
Netanya
Beitar Jerusalem
2
8
W
16.02.26
LH
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0
0
D
09.02.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
2
1
L
04.02.26
SC
Beitar Jerusalem
Bnei Yehuda
1
2
L
31.01.26
LH
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
2
2
D
25.01.26
LH
SC Ashdod
Beitar Jerusalem
1
1
D
Hapoel Petah Tikva
25.04.26
LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
1
L
18.04.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
3
0
L
11.04.26
LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0
0
D
04.04.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1
1
D
26.03.26
CF
SC Ashdod
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1
2
W
21.02.26
LH
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0
1
W
14.02.26
LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
0
1
L
07.02.26
LH
Sakhnin
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1
2
W
01.02.26
LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva
SC Ashdod
2
0
W
23.01.26
LH
Hapoel Jerusalem
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 28th April 2026, Beitar Jerusalem host Hapoel Petah Tikva in Israel Ligat Ha'al. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Beitar Jerusalem come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Hapoel Petah Tikva are inconsistent on the road — 6W 2D 2L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.8 per match.

Historically, Beitar Jerusalem have won 7 of the last 10 meetings against Hapoel Petah Tikva, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.9 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.50 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Israel Ligat Ha’al clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.50. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.50. Confidence: 72%.
What is Beitar Jerusalem's recent form?
Beitar Jerusalem have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Hapoel Petah Tikva been performing?
Hapoel Petah Tikva: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Beitar Jerusalem 7 wins vs Hapoel Petah Tikva's 2, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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