✕ Tip LOST  ·  Bayern Leverkusen 1-1 Arsenal
🏆 UEFA Champions League 📅 Wednesday, 11th March 2026
BAY
Bayern Leverkusen
D W D D L
1-1
VS
ARS
Arsenal
W W W W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Arsenal to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.54
~50% implied
Confidence
★★★★★
63%
Solid Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-14.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 64.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -14.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Bayern Leverkusen
D W D D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
Arsenal
W W W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Bayern Leverkusen0W
Draw1
Arsenal2W
Supports Tip Arsenal won 2 of 3 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Bayern Leverkusen wins1/5
Arsenal wins4/5
Goals per game2.6
H2H avg goals4
Supports Tip Arsenal: 4W 1D 0L from 5 games.
1-3-1
Bayern Leverkusen form
4-1-0
Arsenal form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Bayern Leverkusen
Overall
3.8 —
Scoring
3.3 —
Defence
6.7 —
Arsenal
Overall
8.6 —
Scoring
7.3 —
Defence
6.7 —
Key Analytics
Bayern Leverkusen
1
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Arsenal
2.2
Goals
scored/game
1
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Home Win & BTTS No 6%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 7%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 29%
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ CF (07.08.24): Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
4
1
⚽ CL (27.02.02): Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
4
1
⚽ CL (19.02.02): Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
1
1
Recent Results
Bayern Leverkusen
⚽ BUN (07.03.26): Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
⚽ BUN (04.03.26): Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0
1
⚽ BUN (28.02.26): Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz
1
1
⚽ CL (24.02.26): Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiacos Piraeus
0
0
⚽ BUN (21.02.26): Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
0
Arsenal
⚽ FAC (07.03.26): Mansfield
Arsenal
1
2
⚽ PL (04.03.26): Brighton
Arsenal
0
1
⚽ PL (01.03.26): Arsenal
Chelsea
2
1
⚽ PL (22.02.26): Tottenham
Arsenal
1
4
⚽ PL (18.02.26): Wolves
Arsenal
2
2
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 11th March 2026, Bayern Leverkusen host Arsenal in UEFA Champions League. Our analysis points to Arsenal to win as the standout bet.

Bayern Leverkusen come into this going through a difficult run, with 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.

Arsenal are travelling well — 4W 1D 0L in 5 games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1 per match.

Historically, Bayern Leverkusen have won 0 of the last 3 meetings against Arsenal, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 4 goals.

With all factors considered, arsenal to win at 1.54 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Bayern Leverkusen vs Arsenal?
Our top pick is 2 — Arsenal to win at around 1.54. Confidence: 63%.
What is Bayern Leverkusen's recent form?
Bayern Leverkusen have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 — poor form.
How has Arsenal been performing?
Arsenal: 4W 1D 0L from 5 games — very good form.
What is the H2H record?
Bayern Leverkusen 0 wins vs Arsenal's 2, with 1 draws in 3 meetings. Avg 4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.6 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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