AZ
AZ Alkmaar
W
L
W
L
W
4-0
VS
HER
Heracles
D
L
L
L
L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing AZ Alkmaar to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~50% implied
Confidence
★★★★★ 50%
Solid Pick
⚠
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees ·
GambleAware ·
GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main
1 — AZ Alkmaar to win
@1.40
Goals
Over 2.5
70%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-21.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 71.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -21.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
AZ Alkmaar
W
L
W
L
W
〰 Mixed
1 in a row
Heracles
D
L
L
L
L
🥶 Cold
4 in a row
⚔ Head to Head
AZ Alkmaar2W
Draw1
Heracles2W
Against
AZ Alkmaar won 2 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar wins3/5
Heracles wins0/5
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip
AZ Alkmaar: 3W 0D 2L from 5 games.
3-0-2
AZ Alkmaar form
0-1-4
Heracles form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Key Analytics
AZ Alkmaar
1.8
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Heracles
0.4
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
2.4
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Combination Markets
Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
43%
Home Win & BTTS No
43%
Draw & BTTS Yes
7%
Draw & BTTS No
7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
0%
Away Win & BTTS No
0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
60%
Home Win & Under 2.5
26%
Draw & Over 2.5
10%
Draw & Under 2.5
4%
Away Win & Over 2.5
0%
Away Win & Under 2.5
0%
Match History
Head to Head
4.09.25
ERE: Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
13.04.25
ERE: Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
1
0
27.02.25
KNVB: Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
01.12.24
ERE: AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
1
0
03.04.24
ERE: Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
5
0
Recent Results
AZ Alkmaar
12.03.26
UCL: AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Prague
2
1
07.03.26
ERE: PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
04.03.26
KNVB: AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
2
1
01.03.26
ERE: FC Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
2
0
26.02.26
UCL: AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
4
0
Heracles
06.03.26
ERE: Heracles
FC Utrecht
0
0
28.02.26
ERE: Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
22.02.26
ERE: Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles
4
0
14.02.26
ERE: Heracles
NAC Breda
0
1
07.02.26
ERE: NEC Nijmegen
Heracles
4
1
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles?
Our top pick is 1 — AZ Alkmaar to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 50%.
What is AZ Alkmaar's recent form?
AZ Alkmaar have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 — decent form.
How has Heracles been performing?
Heracles: 0W 1D 4L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
AZ Alkmaar 2 wins vs Heracles's 2, with 1 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.