Tip WON  ·  AZ Alkmaar 4-0 Heracles
🏆 Eredivisie 📅 Sunday, 15th March 2026
AZ
AZ Alkmaar
W L W L W
4-0
VS
HER
Heracles
D L L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing AZ Alkmaar to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~50% implied
Confidence
50%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — AZ Alkmaar to win @1.40
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-21.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 71.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -21.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
AZ Alkmaar
W L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Heracles
D L L L L
🥶 Cold 4 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
AZ Alkmaar2W
Draw1
Heracles2W
Against AZ Alkmaar won 2 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar wins3/5
Heracles wins0/5
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip AZ Alkmaar: 3W 0D 2L from 5 games.
3-0-2
AZ Alkmaar form
0-1-4
Heracles form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
AZ Alkmaar
Overall
6.0
Scoring
6.0
Defence
6.0
Heracles
Overall
0.6
Scoring
1.3
Defence
2.0
Key Analytics
AZ Alkmaar
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Heracles
0.4
Goals
scored/game
2.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Home Win & BTTS No 43%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 60%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
4.09.25
ERE: Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
1
2
13.04.25
ERE: Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
1
0
27.02.25
KNVB: Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
01.12.24
ERE: AZ Alkmaar
Heracles
1
0
03.04.24
ERE: Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
5
0
Recent Results
AZ Alkmaar
12.03.26
UCL: AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Prague
2
1
07.03.26
ERE: PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
2
1
04.03.26
KNVB: AZ Alkmaar
Telstar
2
1
01.03.26
ERE: FC Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
2
0
26.02.26
UCL: AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
4
0
Heracles
06.03.26
ERE: Heracles
FC Utrecht
0
0
28.02.26
ERE: Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
22.02.26
ERE: Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles
4
0
14.02.26
ERE: Heracles
NAC Breda
0
1
07.02.26
ERE: NEC Nijmegen
Heracles
4
1
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 15th March 2026, AZ Alkmaar host Heracles in Eredivisie. Our analysis points to AZ Alkmaar to win as the standout bet.

AZ Alkmaar come into this showing mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Heracles are struggling away from home — 0W 1D 4L in 5 games, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2.4 per match.

Historically, AZ Alkmaar have won 2 of the last 5 meetings against Heracles, who have taken 2 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, az alkmaar to win at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles?
Our top pick is 1 — AZ Alkmaar to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 50%.
What is AZ Alkmaar's recent form?
AZ Alkmaar have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 — decent form.
How has Heracles been performing?
Heracles: 0W 1D 4L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
AZ Alkmaar 2 wins vs Heracles's 2, with 1 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org