Tip LOST  ·  Austria 1-0 South Korea
🏆 International Friendly 📅 Tuesday, 31st March 2026
AUS
Austria
W D W L W
1-0
VS
SOU
South Korea
L W W W L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.68
~90% implied
Confidence
72%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.68
Goals Over 1.5 80%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 75%
South Korea Clean Sheet Away CS 60%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+30.5%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 59.5% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +30.5% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 75.3% $753.00
Half Kelly 37.7% $377.00
Quarter Kelly 18.8% $188.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Austria
W D W L W W W W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
South Korea
L W W W L D W L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Mixed No H2H data on record.
📈 Recent Form
Austria wins7/10
South Korea wins6/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 45% of recent games.
7-1-2
Austria form
6-1-3
South Korea form
H2H BTTS rate
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Austria
Overall
7.3
Scoring
9.0
Defence
7.7
South Korea
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.0
Key Analytics
Austria
2.7
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
South Korea
1.4
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
60%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 38%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 32%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 28%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
Match History
Head to Head

Awaiting data.

Recent Results
Austria
27.03.26
FI: Austria
Ghana
5
1
W
18.11.25
WCQ: Austria
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
15.11.25
WCQ: Cyprus
Austria
0
2
W
12.10.25
WCQ: Romania
Austria
1
0
L
09.10.25
WCQ: Austria
San Marino
10
0
W
09.09.25
WCQ: Bosnia & Herzegovina
Austria
1
2
W
06.09.25
WCQ: Austria
Cyprus
1
0
W
10.06.25
WCQ: San Marino
Austria
0
4
W
07.06.25
WCQ: Austria
Romania
2
1
W
23.03.25
UNL: Serbia
Austria
2
0
L
South Korea
28.03.26
FI: South Korea
Ivory Coast
0
4
L
18.11.25
FI: South Korea
Ghana
1
0
W
14.11.25
FI: South Korea
Bolivia
2
0
W
14.10.25
FI: South Korea
Paraguay
2
0
W
10.10.25
FI: South Korea
Brazil
0
5
L
10.09.25
FI: Mexico
South Korea
2
2
D
06.09.25
FI: USA
South Korea
0
2
W
15.07.25
EAC: South Korea
Japan
0
1
L
11.07.25
EAC: Hong Kong
South Korea
0
2
W
07.07.25
EAC: South Korea
China
3
0
W
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 31st March 2026, Austria host South Korea in International Friendly. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Austria come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

South Korea are inconsistent on the road — 6W 1D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2 per match.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.68 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this International Friendly clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.68. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Austria vs South Korea?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.68. Confidence: 72%.
What is Austria's recent form?
Austria have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has South Korea been performing?
South Korea: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
No recent H2H data available.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals.
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