Tip LOST  ·  Arsenal W 0-2 Brighton W
🏆 England Women FA Cup 📅 Sunday, 5th April 2026
ARS
Arsenal W
L W W W W
0-2
VS
BRI
Brighton W
W D L W L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Arsenal W to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.19
~60% implied
Confidence
78%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Arsenal W to win @1.19
Goals Over 2.5 65%
H2H Over 2.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-24%
edge
No Value
Market implies 84% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -24% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Arsenal W
L W W W W W W W W W
🔥 Hot 9 in a row
Momentum 100%
Brighton W
W D L W L L W W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Arsenal W10W
Draw0
Brighton W0W
Supports Tip Arsenal W won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Arsenal W wins9/10
Brighton W wins4/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals3.6
Supports Tip Arsenal W: 9W 0D 1L from 10 games.
9-0-1
Arsenal W form
4-1-5
Brighton W form
10%
H2H BTTS rate
3.6
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Arsenal W
Overall
9.0
Scoring
9.7
Defence
7.7
Brighton W
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.7
Key Analytics
Arsenal W
2.9
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Brighton W
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 44%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
Match History
Head to Head
12.10.25
WSL: Arsenal
Brighton
1
0
05.05.25
WSL: Brighton
Arsenal
0
4
22.01.25
Cup: Brighton
Arsenal
0
4
08.11.24
WSL: Arsenal
Brighton
5
0
18.05.24
WSL: Arsenal
Brighton
5
0
19.11.23
WSL: Brighton
Arsenal
0
3
10.05.23
WSL: Brighton
Arsenal
0
4
16.09.22
WSL: Arsenal
Brighton
4
0
13.03.22
WSL: Brighton
Arsenal
0
3
27.01.22
WSL: Arsenal
Brighton
2
1
Recent Results
Arsenal W
01.04.26
UWCL: Chelsea W
Arsenal W - L (Adv. 3-2 on Agg)
1
0
28.03.26
WSL: Arsenal W
Tottenham W
5
2
W
24.03.26
UWCL: Arsenal W
Chelsea W
3
1
W
21.03.26
WSL: Arsenal W
West Ham W
5
0
W
15.03.26
WSL: London City Lionesses
Arsenal W
0
2
W
22.02.26
FA Cup: Arsenal W
Bristol City W
3
0
W
18.02.26
UWCL: Arsenal W
OH Leuven
3
1
W
11.02.26
UWCL: OH Leuven
Arsenal W
0
4
W
08.02.26
WSL: Arsenal W
Manchester City W
1
0
W
01.02.26
WCC: Arsenal W
Corinthians W
3
2
W
Brighton W
29.03.26
WSL: Leicester City W
Brighton W
0
1
W
22.03.26
WSL: Brighton W
Liverpool W
0
0
D
18.03.26
WSL: Chelsea W
Brighton W
2
1
L
22.02.26
FA Cup: West Ham W
Brighton W
1
2
W
08.02.26
WSL: West Ham W
Brighton W
3
2
L
01.02.26
WSL: Brighton W
London City Lionesses
1
2
L
23.01.26
WSL: Everton W
Brighton W
0
1
W
18.01.26
FA Cup: Brighton W
Nottingham Forest W
2
0
W
11.01.26
WSL: Aston Villa W
Brighton W
2
1
L
14.12.25
WSL: Brighton W
Chelsea W
0
3
L
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 5th April 2026, Arsenal W host Brighton W in England Women FA Cup. Our analysis points to Arsenal W to win as the standout bet.

Arsenal W come into this in strong form, with 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Brighton W are inconsistent on the road — 4W 1D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Arsenal W have won 10 of the last 10 meetings against Brighton W, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 10% of those games, averaging 3.6 goals.

With all factors considered, arsenal w to win at 1.19 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this England Women FA Cup clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.19. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Arsenal W vs Brighton W?
Our top pick is 1 — Arsenal W to win at around 1.19. Confidence: 78%.
What is Arsenal W's recent form?
Arsenal W have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Brighton W been performing?
Brighton W: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Arsenal W 10 wins vs Brighton W's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 10%.
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