Tip WON  ·  Al Talaba 2-1 Baghdad
🏆 Iraq Stars League 📅 Wednesday, 25th March 2026
AL
Al Talaba
D W W W L
2-1
VS
BAG
Baghdad
L L L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Talaba to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.39
~50% implied
Confidence
56%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Al Talaba to win @1.39
Goals Over 1.5 90%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-21.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 71.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -21.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Al Talaba
D W W W L W D W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Baghdad
L L L L L L D D L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Talaba6W
Draw2
Baghdad2W
Supports Tip Al Talaba won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Talaba wins6/10
Baghdad wins0/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals2.4
Supports Tip Al Talaba: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
6-3-1
Al Talaba form
0-2-8
Baghdad form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Al Talaba
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.0
Baghdad
Overall
0.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.3
Key Analytics
Al Talaba
1.8
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Baghdad
0.9
Goals
scored/game
2.3
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 46%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 39%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
23.11.25
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
2
1
27.02.25
CUP: Al Talaba
Baghdad
2
0
05.05.24
SL: Al Talaba
Baghdad
3
2
22.02.24
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
0
2
29.06.22
SL: Al Talaba
Baghdad
2
2
16.01.22
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
0
1
09.03.21
SL: Al Talaba
Baghdad
1
2
23.11.20
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
0
1
26.04.19
SL: Al Talaba
Baghdad
0
0
20.10.18
SL: Baghdad
Al Talaba
0
3
Recent Results
Al Talaba
17.03.26
SL: Al Shorta
Al Talaba
3
3
D
12.03.26
SL: Al Kahraba
Al Talaba
1
2
W
06.03.26
SL: Al Talaba
Al-Qassim
2
0
W
28.02.26
SL: Naft Missan
Al Talaba
0
1
W
20.02.26
SL: Al Talaba
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1
2
L
13.02.26
SL: Al Karkh
Al Talaba
0
2
W
05.02.26
SL: Al-Karma
Al Talaba
1
1
D
31.01.26
SL: Al Talaba
Al Gharraf
3
1
W
27.01.26
SL: Al Talaba
Diyala
1
1
D
23.01.26
SL: Erbil
Al Talaba
0
2
W
Baghdad
21.03.26
SL: Al Zawraa
Amanat Baghdad
3
2
L
17.03.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Amanat Baghdad
3
1
L
12.03.26
SL: Amanat Baghdad
Newroz
0
2
L
06.03.26
SL: Naft Missan
Amanat Baghdad
2
1
L
01.03.26
SL: Amanat Baghdad
Al Naft
1
2
L
22.02.26
SL: Al Kahraba
Amanat Baghdad
5
0
L
06.02.26
SL: Amanat Baghdad
Al Minaa
0
0
D
31.01.26
SL: Amanat Baghdad
Erbil
1
1
D
26.01.26
SL: Al Gharraf
Amanat Baghdad
3
2
L
22.01.26
SL: Al-Karma
Amanat Baghdad
2
1
L
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 25th March 2026, Al Talaba host Baghdad in Iraq Stars League. Our analysis points to Al Talaba to win as the standout bet.

Al Talaba come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Baghdad are struggling away from home — 0W 2D 8L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.3 per match.

Historically, Al Talaba have won 6 of the last 10 meetings against Baghdad, who have taken 2 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.4 goals.

With all factors considered, al talaba to win at 1.39 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Iraq Stars League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.39. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Talaba vs Baghdad?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Talaba to win at around 1.39. Confidence: 56%.
What is Al Talaba's recent form?
Al Talaba have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Baghdad been performing?
Baghdad: 0W 2D 8L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Talaba 6 wins vs Baghdad's 2, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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