Tip WON  ·  Al Shorta 4-1 Baghdad
🏆 Iraq Stars League 📅 Wednesday, 8th April 2026
AL
Al Shorta
W D W D D
4-1
VS
BAG
Baghdad
W W L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Shorta to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.26
~50% implied
Confidence
63%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Al Shorta to win @1.26
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 90%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%
H2H Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-29.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 79.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -29.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Al Shorta
W D W D D W L W W W
🔥 Hot 3 in a row
Momentum 80%
Baghdad
L W L L L L L L L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Shorta9W
Draw1
Baghdad0W
Supports Tip Al Shorta won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Shorta wins6/10
Baghdad wins1/10
Goals per game3.2
H2H avg goals2.9
Supports Tip Al Shorta: 6W 3D 1L from 10 games.
6-3-1
Al Shorta form
1-1-8
Baghdad form
80%
H2H BTTS rate
2.9
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Al Shorta
Overall
6.9
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
Baghdad
Overall
1.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.7
Key Analytics
Al Shorta
2
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Baghdad
0.9
Goals
scored/game
2.2
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 47%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 3%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 3%
Match History
Head to Head
30.12.25
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Al-Shorta
1
2
13.05.24
Stars League: Al-Shorta
Amanat Baghdad
2
1
05.12.23
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Al-Shorta
1
2
07.06.22
Stars League: Al-Shorta
Amanat Baghdad
2
0
31.12.21
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Al-Shorta
1
3
01.03.21
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Al-Shorta
1
1
30.10.20
Stars League: Al-Shorta
Amanat Baghdad
2
0
26.02.20
Stars League: Al-Shorta
Amanat Baghdad
3
1
02.07.19
Stars League: Al-Shorta
Amanat Baghdad
2
1
05.02.19
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Al-Shorta
1
2
Recent Results
Al Shorta
04.04.26
Stars League: Al-Najaf
Al-Shorta
1
3
W
31.03.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
3
3
D
26.03.26
Stars League: Zakho
Al-Shorta
0
2
W
21.03.26
Stars League: Al-Naft
Al-Shorta
1
1
D
17.03.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta
Al-Talaba
3
3
D
12.03.26
Stars League: Al-Mosul
Al-Shorta
0
1
W
07.03.26
Stars League: Duhok
Al-Shorta
2
1
L
02.03.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta
Al-Kahraba
2
0
W
26.02.26
Stars League: Al-Zawraa
Al-Shorta
1
2
W
21.02.26
Stars League: Al-Shorta
Diyala
2
1
W
Baghdad
03.04.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Zakho SC
1
2
L
30.03.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Al-Karma
2
1
W
25.03.26
Stars League: Al-Talaba
Amanat Baghdad
2
1
L
21.03.26
Stars League: Al-Zawraa
Amanat Baghdad
3
2
L
17.03.26
Stars League: Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Amanat Baghdad
3
1
L
12.03.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Newroz SC
0
2
L
06.03.26
Stars League: Naft Maysan
Amanat Baghdad
2
1
L
01.03.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Al-Naft SC
1
2
L
22.02.26
Stars League: Al-Kahrabaa
Amanat Baghdad
5
0
L
06.02.26
Stars League: Amanat Baghdad
Al-Mina’a SC
0
0
D
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 8th April 2026, Al Shorta host Baghdad in Iraq Stars League. Our analysis points to Al Shorta to win as the standout bet.

Al Shorta come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Baghdad are struggling away from home — 1W 1D 8L in 10 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 2.2 per match.

Historically, Al Shorta have won 9 of the last 10 meetings against Baghdad, who have taken 0 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 80% of those games, averaging 2.9 goals.

With all factors considered, al shorta to win at 1.26 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Iraq Stars League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.26. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Shorta vs Baghdad?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Shorta to win at around 1.26. Confidence: 63%.
What is Al Shorta's recent form?
Al Shorta have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Baghdad been performing?
Baghdad: 1W 1D 8L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Shorta 9 wins vs Baghdad's 0, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.9 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.2 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 80%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org