Tip WON  ·  Al Nassr 5-1 Al Ahli Doha
🏆 AFC Champions League 2 📅 Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
AL
Al Nassr
W W W W W
5-1
VS
AL
Al Ahli Doha
W W D W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Nassr to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.12
~50% implied
Confidence
68%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Al Nassr to win @1.12
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 80%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet Home CS 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-39.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 89.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -39.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Al Nassr
W W W W W W W W W W
🔥 Hot 10 in a row
Momentum 100%
Al Ahli Doha
W W D W D L L W L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Mixed No H2H data on record.
📈 Recent Form
Al Nassr wins10/10
Al Ahli Doha wins4/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals
Supports Tip Al Nassr: 10W 0D 0L from 10 games.
10-0-0
Al Nassr form
4-3-3
Al Ahli Doha form
H2H BTTS rate
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Al Nassr
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
9.0
Al Ahli Doha
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.7
Key Analytics
Al Nassr
3.1
Goals
scored/game
0.3
Goals
conceded/game
80%
Clean
sheets
Al Ahli Doha
1.9
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 46%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
Match History
Head to Head

Awaiting data.

Recent Results
Al Nassr
19.04.26
CL2
Al Wasl
Al Nassr
0
4
W
15.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Ettifaq
1
0
W
11.04.26
SPL
Al Okhdood
Al Nassr
0
2
W
03.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Najma
5
2
W
14.03.26
SPL
Al Khaleej
Al Nassr
0
5
W
07.03.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Neom SC
1
0
W
28.02.26
SPL
Al Fayha
Al Nassr
1
3
W
25.02.26
SPL
Al Najma
Al Nassr
0
5
W
21.02.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Hazem
4
0
W
18.02.26
CL2
Al Nassr
Arkadag
1
0
W
Al Ahli Doha
19.04.26
CL2
Al Ahli Doha
Al Hussein
3
1
W
08.04.26
QSL
Al Ahli Doha
Al-Duhail
2
1
W
03.04.26
QSL
Al Ahli Doha
Al Sailiya
2
2
D
18.03.26
QSL
Al-Gharafa
Al Ahli Doha
1
4
W
13.03.26
QSL
Al Ahli Doha
Al Arabi
1
1
D
27.02.26
QSL
Al Ahli Doha
Al-Shahaniya
1
2
L
22.02.26
QSL
Al Rayyan
Al Ahli Doha
2
1
L
18.02.26
CL2
Al Ahli Doha
Sepahan
1
0
W
15.02.26
EMI
Al Ahli Doha
Umm-Salal
2
4
L
11.02.26
CL2
Sepahan
Al Ahli Doha
2
2
D
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 22nd April 2026, Al Nassr host Al Ahli Doha in AFC Champions League 2. Our analysis points to Al Nassr to win as the standout bet.

Al Nassr come into this in strong form, with 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 3.1 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game.

Al Ahli Doha are inconsistent on the road — 4W 3D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.6 per match.

With all factors considered, al nassr to win at 1.12 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this AFC Champions League 2 clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.12. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Nassr to win at around 1.12. Confidence: 68%.
What is Al Nassr's recent form?
Al Nassr have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Al Ahli Doha been performing?
Al Ahli Doha: 4W 3D 3L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
No recent H2H data available.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals.
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