Tip LOST  ·  AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 Ol Nicosia
🏆 Cyprus League 📅 Sunday, 1st March 2026
AEK
AEK Larnaca
L L W W W
1 - 1
VS
OL
Ol Nicosia
L D L L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing AEK Larnaca to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.30
~50% implied
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — AEK Larnaca to win @1.30
Goals Over 2.5 100%
Goals Over 1.5 100%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-26.9%
edge
No Value
Market implies 76.9% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -26.9% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
AEK Larnaca
L W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 67%
⚔ Head to Head
AEK Larnaca2W
Draw3
Ol Nicosia0W
Against AEK Larnaca won 2 of the last 5 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
AEK Larnaca wins2/3
Ol Nicosia wins
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals2.8
Supports Tip AEK Larnaca: 2W 0D 1L from 3 games.
2-0-1
AEK Larnaca form
Ol Nicosia form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.8
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
AEK Larnaca
Overall
6.7
Scoring
5.6
Defence
5.6
Ol Nicosia

No data available.

Key Analytics
AEK Larnaca
1.7
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
Match History
Head to Head
22.11.25
: OLY
AEK
1
4
20.01.23
: OLY
AEK
0
2
17.10.22
: AEK
OLY
4
2
09.02.22
: OLY
AEK
0
0
27.09.21
: AEK
OLY
1
0
Recent Results
AEK Larnaca
22.02.26
: OMO
AEK
2
1
14.02.26
: AEK
APO
0
1
08.02.26
: APL
AEK
1
2
31.01.26
: AEK
PAR
5
0
25.01.26
: PAF
AEK
1
2
Ol Nicosia
21.02.26
: OLY
CHL
1
3
15.02.26
: OLY
OMO
0
0
08.02.26
: APO
OLY
3
1
31.01.26
: OLY
APL
0
2
26.01.26
: PAR
OLY
0
2
Expert Analysis

On Sunday, 1st March 2026, AEK Larnaca host Ol Nicosia in Cyprus League. Our analysis points to AEK Larnaca to win as the standout bet.

AEK Larnaca come into this in strong form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses from their last 3 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Historically, AEK Larnaca have won 2 of the last 5 meetings against Ol Nicosia, who have taken 0 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.8 goals.

With all factors considered, aek larnaca to win at 1.30 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


AEK Larnaca is looking to bounce back and stay in the hunt for the Cypriot title. They have won four of their last five home games and historically dominate Olympiakos Nicosia, winning seven of their last 15 meetings while losing only two.

Olympiakos Nicosia is languishing in 11th place and has lost four of their last five matches. They struggle significantly on the road, often failing to find the net. AEK’s attacking depth and the psychological edge from their previous 4-1 thrashing of Nicosia earlier this season make them heavy favorites here.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for AEK Larnaca vs Ol Nicosia?
Our top pick is 1 — AEK Larnaca to win at around 1.30. Confidence: 53%.
What is AEK Larnaca's recent form?
AEK Larnaca have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 — decent form.
How has Ol Nicosia been performing?
Recent form: L/D/L/L/W
What is the H2H record?
AEK Larnaca 2 wins vs Ol Nicosia's 0, with 3 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 2.8 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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