On Saturday, 7th March 2026, AEK Athens host AEL Larissa in Greece Super League. Our analysis points to AEK Athens to win as the standout bet.

AEK Athens come into this showing mixed form, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

AEL Larissa are struggling away from home — 1W 2D 2L in 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8 per match.

Historically, AEK Athens have won 3 of the last 5 meetings against AEL Larissa, who have taken 0 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 60% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, aek athens to win at 1.22 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

AEK Athens returns to the OPAP Arena with one goal: maintain their grip on the top of the table. In the Greek Super League, the battle between the “Big Four” is so tight that a single draw can drop a team from first to fourth. AEK has been a powerhouse at home, winning eight of their last ten and averaging nearly three goals per match. Their defensive solidity is equally impressive, conceding just 0.6 goals per game.

AEL Larissa is coming off a bruising 3-0 defeat and typically struggles on the road. The pressure on AEK is to not only win but to do so convincingly to keep their goal difference healthy. The fans in Athens are notoriously demanding, and the “must-win” atmosphere is palpable from the moment the team bus arrives. Larissa will try to be compact, but they lack the pace on the counter-attack to truly punish AEK. Given that AEK has a 55% possession average and creates numerous corner opportunities, expect them to camp in Larissa’s half for the majority of the 90 minutes.