Match Programme Sunday, 24th May 2026
🏆 Serie A
AC
A
AC Milan
W L L D W
HT
VS
C
Cagliari
W L D W L
AT
Expert Selection
1
Backing AC Milan to win
Score 1-1 13.1%
Odds
1.36
Confidence
52%
SOLID PICK
H 50%D 30%A 20%
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Page 3
🎲 Betting Angles at a Glance
Key Stats For Bettors
Value Assessment — Our Probability vs Market Odds
Our Probability
50%
Analyst estimate
Market Implied
74%
From odds 1.36
Overpriced
-24%
Market prices this higher
50%
Over 2.5
Goals Rate
40%
BTTS Rate
Recent
60%
H2H BTTS
Rate
3.2
H2H Avg
Goals/Game
Page 4
⚔ Head to Head
Historical Record
7
AC Milan
3
Draws
0
Cagliari
Supports Bet AC Milan won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Page 5
📊 Statistical Comparison
Performance Data
AC Milan
Stat
Cagliari
0.9
Goals Per Game
0.9
1.3
Conceded Per Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
40%
30%
Page 6
📈 Form Ratings
Analyst Grades
AC Milan
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.7
Cagliari
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.7
Page 7
🎯 Score Predictions
Poisson Model
Based on both teams' goals-per-game averages. Probabilistic estimates, not guarantees.
Top Pick
1-1
13.1% probability
Alternative 1
1-0
11.9% probability
Alternative 2
0-1
10.5% probability
Page 8
🔀 Combination Markets
Probability Estimates
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes20%
Home Win & BTTS No30%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes15%
Away Win & BTTS No22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.525%
Home Win & Under 2.525%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.57%
Away Win & Over 2.519%
Away Win & Under 2.519%
Page 9
📜 Match Archive
Results Log
Head to Head
02.01.26SA
Cagliari
0
AC Milan
1
11.01.25SA
AC Milan
1
Cagliari
1
09.11.24SA
Cagliari
3
AC Milan
3
11.05.24SA
AC Milan
5
Cagliari
1
02.01.24COP
AC Milan
4
Cagliari
1
27.09.23SA
Cagliari
1
AC Milan
3
19.03.22SA
Cagliari
0
AC Milan
1
29.08.21SA
AC Milan
4
Cagliari
1
16.05.21SA
AC Milan
0
Cagliari
0
18.01.21SA
Cagliari
0
AC Milan
2
Recent Results
AC Milan
17.05.26SA
Genoa
1
AC Milan
2
W
10.05.26SA
AC Milan
2
Atalanta
3
L
03.05.26SA
Sassuolo
2
AC Milan
0
L
26.04.26SA
AC Milan
0
Juventus
0
D
19.04.26SA
Verona
0
AC Milan
1
W
11.04.26SA
AC Milan
0
Udinese
3
L
06.04.26SA
Napoli
1
AC Milan
0
L
21.03.26SA
AC Milan
3
Torino
2
W
15.03.26SA
Lazio
1
AC Milan
0
L
08.03.26SA
AC Milan
1
Inter
0
W
Cagliari
17.05.26SA
Cagliari
2
Torino
1
W
09.05.26SA
Cagliari
0
Udinese
2
L
03.05.26SA
Bologna
0
Cagliari
0
D
27.04.26SA
Cagliari
3
Atalanta
2
W
17.04.26SA
Inter
3
Cagliari
0
L
11.04.26SA
Cagliari
1
Cremonese
0
W
04.04.26SA
Sassuolo
2
Cagliari
1
L
20.03.26SA
Cagliari
0
Napoli
1
L
15.03.26SA
Pisa
3
Cagliari
1
L
07.03.26SA
Cagliari
1
Como
2
L
Page 10
📝 Expert Analysis
Match Preview

On Sunday, 24th May 2026, AC Milan host Cagliari in Serie A. Our analysts back AC Milan to win as the standout selection.

AC Milan arrive showing mixed form: 4W 1D 5L from 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Cagliari are struggling away from home: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games.

H2H: AC Milan lead with 7 wins vs Cagliari's 0, with 3 draws in 10 meetings. BTTS in 60% of those games.

Verdict: ac milan to win at 1.36 is our best value angle for this fixture.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Serie A clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.36. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Page 11
❓ Common Questions
Bettor FAQ
What is the best bet for AC Milan vs Cagliari?
Selection: 1 — AC Milan to win at ~1.36. Confidence: 52%.
What is AC Milan's recent form?
AC Milan: 4W 1D 5L from 10 games.
How has Cagliari been performing?
Cagliari: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games.
What does the H2H record show?
AC Milan 7W vs Cagliari 0W, 3 draws in 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Average 2.4 goals/game. H2H BTTS rate: 60%.