📅 Thursday, 10th September 2026 ⏰ 3:45 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
LEG
Legion
L L L D L
VS
TAR
Tartu Kalev
L L D W W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Tartu Kalev to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.18
~79% implied
Confidence
70%
Strong Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — Tartu Kalev to win @1.18
Goals Over 2.5 70%
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-5.7%
edge
No Value
Market implies 84.7% probability. Our estimate is 79%, a -5.7% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Legion
L L L D L L L L W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
Tartu Kalev
L L D W W L W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
Legion2W
Draw0
Tartu Kalev8W
Supports Tip Tartu Kalev won 8 of 10 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Legion wins1/10
Tartu Kalev wins5/10
Goals per game4.1
H2H avg goals3.4
Mixed Tartu Kalev: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games.
1-1-8
Legion form
5-1-4
Tartu Kalev form
20%
H2H BTTS rate
3.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Legion
Overall
1.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
0.0
Tartu Kalev
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
2.0
Key Analytics
Legion
1
Goals
scored/game
3.1
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Tartu Kalev
1.6
Goals
scored/game
2.4
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 40%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 10%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 50%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
Match History
Head to Head
12.07.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Legion
10
2
24.05.26
ESB
Legion
Tartu Kalev
0
6
11.04.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Legion
1
0
01.11.25
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Legion
4
3
02.08.25
ESB
Legion
Tartu Kalev
0
1
05.07.25
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Legion
0
1
19.04.25
ESB
Legion
Tartu Kalev
1
0
10.11.24
ESB
Legion
Tartu Kalev
0
2
17.08.24
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Legion
1
0
06.07.24
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Legion
2
0
Recent Results
Legion
05.09.26
ESB
Tulevik
Legion
3
0
L
30.08.26
ESB
Legion
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1
5
L
24.08.26
ESB
Levadia U19
Legion
1
0
L
21.08.26
ESB
Tallinna Kalev U21
Legion
3
3
D
15.08.26
ESB
Legion
Tammeka U21
0
3
L
09.08.26
ESB
Legion
Narva U21
1
3
L
01.08.26
ESB
Legion
Johvi Phoenix
0
1
L
26.07.26
CUP
Saku Sporting
Legion
2
1
L
18.07.26
ESB
Legion
Tabasalu
2
0
W
12.07.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Legion
10
2
L
Tartu Kalev
06.09.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Narva U21
0
1
L
29.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Johvi Phoenix
0
3
L
25.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Tallinna Kalev U21
1
1
D
20.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Tammeka U21
2
1
W
15.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1
0
W
11.08.26
CUP
Tallinna Kalev
Tartu Kalev
8
0
L
08.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Tulevik
4
2
W
01.08.26
ESB
Tartu Kalev
Tabasalu
3
1
W
23.07.26
CUP
Tartu Kalev
Kuusalu Kalev
7
0
W
19.07.26
ESB
Levadia U19
Tartu Kalev
0
5
W
Venue Records
Legion at Home
30.08.26
ESB
Legion
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1
5
L
15.08.26
ESB
Legion
Tammeka U21
0
3
L
09.08.26
ESB
Legion
Narva U21
1
3
L
01.08.26
ESB
Legion
Johvi Phoenix
0
1
L
18.07.26
ESB
Legion
Tabasalu
2
0
W
05.07.26
ESB
Legion
Tallinna Kalev U21
2
3
L
22.06.26
ESB
Legion
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1
4
L
24.05.26
ESB
Legion
Tartu Kalev
0
6
L
16.05.26
ESB
Legion
Tulevik
0
3
L
24.04.26
ESB
Legion
Tabasalu
3
2
W
Tartu Kalev Away
11.08.26
CUP
Tallinna Kalev
Tartu Kalev
8
0
L
19.07.26
ESB
Levadia U19
Tartu Kalev
0
5
W
04.07.26
ESB
Johvi Phoenix
Tartu Kalev
3
2
L
21.06.26
ESB
Tabasalu
Tartu Kalev
3
1
L
18.06.26
ESB
Narva U21
Tartu Kalev
3
2
L
01.06.26
ESB
Tallinna Kalev U21
Tartu Kalev
7
2
L
24.05.26
ESB
Legion
Tartu Kalev
0
6
W
01.05.26
ESB
Johvi Phoenix
Tartu Kalev
4
3
L
28.04.26
ESB
Levadia U19
Tartu Kalev
3
1
L
19.04.26
ESB
Tammeka U21
Tartu Kalev
0
1
W
Expert Analysis

Right, let us dig into this Unknown League fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and N/A has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 2 at @1.18, which we make roughly a 21 shout. Kick-off is 3:45 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Legion vs Tartu Kalev?
Our top pick is 2 — Tartu Kalev to win at around 1.18. Confidence: 70%.
What is Legion's recent form?
Legion have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Tartu Kalev been performing?
Tartu Kalev: 5W 1D 4L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Legion 2 wins vs Tartu Kalev's 8, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 4.1 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 20%.
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