πŸ† Kuwait Division 1 πŸ“… Tuesday, 11th August 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm πŸ“ N/A ⏳ β€”
YAR
Yarmouk
D W W L D
VS
BUR
Burgan
D D L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.26
~90% implied
Confidence
β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…
77%
Strong Pick
⚠ 18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Bettor Intelligence
πŸ“Š Value Assessment
+10.6%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 79.4% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +10.6% edge β€” statistically meaningful.
πŸ’° Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 51.5% $515.00
Half Kelly 25.8% $258.00
Quarter Kelly 12.9% $129.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Yarmouk
D W W L D L D W W L
γ€° Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Burgan
D D L L L D D L L L
πŸ₯Ά Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 0%
βš” Head to Head
Yarmouk6W
Draw1
Burgan3W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 70% of H2H meetings (avg 2.6).
πŸ“ˆ Recent Form
Yarmouk wins4/10
Burgan wins0/10
Goals per game2.4
H2H avg goals2.6
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 65% of recent games.
4-3-3
Yarmouk form
0-4-6
Burgan form
70%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Yarmouk
Overall
4.9 β€”
Scoring
5.3 β€”
Defence
5.7 β€”
Burgan
Overall
1.2 β€”
Scoring
1.3 β€”
Defence
5.0 β€”
Key Analytics
Yarmouk
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Burgan
0.4
Goals
scored/game
1.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 26%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
Match History
Head to Head
22.01.26
DIV
Burgan
Yarmouk
0
1
04.10.25
DIV
Yarmouk
Burgan
1
2
02.04.24
DIV
Burgan
Yarmouk
1
3
14.02.24
DIV
Yarmouk
Burgan
2
1
05.11.23
DIV
Burgan
Yarmouk
2
3
28.08.23
DIV
Yarmouk
Burgan
1
1
26.04.23
DIV
Yarmouk
Burgan
1
0
06.03.23
DIV
Yarmouk
Burgan
1
2
15.12.22
DIV
Burgan
Yarmouk
1
2
18.10.22
CRO
Yarmouk
Burgan
0
1
Recent Results
Yarmouk
07.08.26
DIV
Yarmouk
Khaitan
0
0
D
02.08.26
DIV
Yarmouk
Al Shamiya
3
0
W
29.07.26
DIV
Sporty
Yarmouk
1
2
W
25.07.26
DIV
Yarmouk
Al Sahel
0
1
L
20.02.26
DIV
Yarmouk
Al-Jazira
3
3
D
12.02.26
EMI
Al Naser
Yarmouk
3
2
L
04.02.26
DIV
Al Sulaibikhat
Yarmouk
2
2
D
22.01.26
DIV
Burgan
Yarmouk
0
1
W
15.01.26
DIV
Khaitan
Yarmouk
1
2
W
07.01.26
CRO
Al Arabi
Yarmouk
2
1
L
Burgan
07.08.26
DIV
Burgan
Al Sulaibikhat
0
0
D
02.08.26
DIV
Al Sahel
Burgan
0
0
D
29.07.26
DIV
Burgan
Al-Jazira
0
2
L
25.07.26
DIV
Burgan
Sporty
0
1
L
27.02.26
EMI
Al Qadisiya
Burgan
2
0
L
21.02.26
DIV
Al Shamiya
Burgan
2
2
D
04.02.26
DIV
Burgan
Khaitan
1
1
D
22.01.26
DIV
Burgan
Yarmouk
0
1
L
16.01.26
DIV
Al Sulaibikhat
Burgan
3
1
L
10.01.26
CRO
Al Kuwait
Burgan
3
0
L
Venue Records
Yarmouk at Home
07.08.26
DIV
Yarmouk
Khaitan
0
0
D
02.08.26
DIV
Yarmouk
Al Shamiya
3
0
W
25.07.26
DIV
Yarmouk
Al Sahel
0
1
L
20.02.26
DIV
Yarmouk
Al-Jazira
3
3
D
22.12.25
DIV
Yarmouk
Sporty
3
0
W
20.10.25
DIV
Yarmouk
Al Sulaibikhat
1
0
W
04.10.25
DIV
Yarmouk
Burgan
1
2
L
29.09.25
DIV
Yarmouk
Khaitan
2
0
W
18.04.25
PL
Yarmouk
Kazma SC
3
2
W
28.02.25
PL
Yarmouk
Al Salmiya
1
1
D
Burgan Away
02.08.26
DIV
Al Sahel
Burgan
0
0
D
27.02.26
EMI
Al Qadisiya
Burgan
2
0
L
21.02.26
DIV
Al Shamiya
Burgan
2
2
D
16.01.26
DIV
Al Sulaibikhat
Burgan
3
1
L
10.01.26
CRO
Al Kuwait
Burgan
3
0
L
31.12.25
DIV
Al Sahel
Burgan
2
1
L
22.12.25
DIV
Al-Jazira
Burgan
3
3
D
03.11.25
DIV
Sporty
Burgan
1
2
W
20.10.25
DIV
Khaitan
Burgan
2
0
L
04.10.25
DIV
Yarmouk
Burgan
1
2
W
Expert Analysis

Right, let us dig into this Kuwait Division 1 fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and N/A has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form β€” a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on Over 1.5 at @1.26, which we make roughly a 90% shout. Kick-off is 5:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here β€” there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Yarmouk vs Burgan?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 β€” over 1.5 goals at around 1.26. Confidence: 77%.
What is Yarmouk's recent form?
Yarmouk have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 β€” inconsistent.
How has Burgan been performing?
Burgan: 0W 4D 6L from 10 games β€” poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Yarmouk 6 wins vs Burgan's 3, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.4 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 70%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org