🏆 Bulgaria EFBET League 📅 Saturday, 1st August 2026 ⏰ 5:00 pm 📍 Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) ⏳ —
LEV
Levski Sofia
D W W W W
VS
SEP
Septemvri Sofia
L D L W L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Levski Sofia to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.23
~50% implied
Confidence
64%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Levski Sofia to win @1.23
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-31.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 81.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -31.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Levski Sofia
D W W W W D W D W W
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 60%
Septemvri Sofia
L D L W W W W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
⚔ Head to Head
Levski Sofia8W
Draw2
Septemvri Sofia0W
Supports Tip Levski Sofia won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Levski Sofia wins7/10
Septemvri Sofia wins6/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals3.5
Supports Tip Levski Sofia: 7W 3D 0L from 10 games.
7-3-0
Levski Sofia form
6-2-2
Septemvri Sofia form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Levski Sofia
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.3
Defence
8.0
Septemvri Sofia
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.0
Key Analytics
Levski Sofia
2.8
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Septemvri Sofia
1.6
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
Match History
Head to Head
30.11.25
1L
Levski Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
7
0
27.07.25
1L
Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
2
21.04.25
1L
Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
1
09.11.24
1L
Levski Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
2
3
29.06.24
CF
Levski Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
5
0
04.05.23
1L
Levski Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
07.02.23
CF
Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
4
16.10.22
1L
Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
0
18.06.22
CF
Levski Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
30.03.22
CF
Levski Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
3
2
Recent Results
Levski Sofia
29.07.26
CL
Univ. Craiova
Levski Sofia
2
2
D
25.07.26
1L
Lok. Sofia
Levski Sofia
1
2
W
22.07.26
CL
Levski Sofia
Univ. Craiova
1
0
W
17.07.26
1L
Levski Sofia
Dunav Ruse
2
1
W
14.07.26
CL
Levski Sofia
Borac Banja Luka
4
0
W
07.07.26
CL
Borac Banja Luka
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
30.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Radnik
5
0
W
27.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
23.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Etar
6
0
W
19.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Akademik Svishtov
4
0
W
Septemvri Sofia
26.07.26
1L
Lok. Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
L
18.07.26
1L
Septemvri Sofia
Arda
1
1
D
10.07.26
CF
Ludogorets
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
L
07.07.26
CF
Septemvri Sofia
Hebar
2
1
W
04.07.26
CF
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
3
L
01.07.26
CF
Septemvri Sofia
Vihren
2
0
W
27.06.26
CF
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.05.26
1L
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra Gabrovo
2
1
W
22.05.26
1L
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
18.05.26
1L
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Levski Sofia host Septemvri Sofia at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) in Bulgaria EFBET League. Our analysis points to Levski Sofia to win as the standout bet.

Levski Sofia come into this in strong form, with 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Septemvri Sofia are inconsistent on the road — 6W 2D 2L in 10 games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 per match.

Historically, Levski Sofia have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against Septemvri Sofia, who have taken 0 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.5 goals.

With all factors considered, levski sofia to win at 1.23 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Bulgaria EFBET League fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.23, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 5:00 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our top pick is 1 — Levski Sofia to win at around 1.23. Confidence: 64%.
What is Levski Sofia's recent form?
Levski Sofia have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Septemvri Sofia been performing?
Septemvri Sofia: 6W 2D 2L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Levski Sofia 8 wins vs Septemvri Sofia's 0, with 2 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org