🏆 Bulgaria EFBET League 📅 Friday, 17th July 2026 ⏰ 7:15 pm 📍 Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) ⏳ —
LEV
Levski Sofia
W D W D W
VS
DUN
Dunav Ruse
D D D L W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Levski Sofia to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.20
~60% implied
Confidence
64%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-23.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 83.3% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -23.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Levski Sofia
W D W D W W D L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
Dunav Ruse
D D D L W L D W L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Levski Sofia10W
Draw0
Dunav Ruse0W
Supports Tip Levski Sofia won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Levski Sofia wins4/10
Dunav Ruse wins2/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals2.7
Caution Levski Sofia: 4W 4D 2L from 10 games.
4-4-2
Levski Sofia form
2-5-3
Dunav Ruse form
30%
H2H BTTS rate
2.7
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Levski Sofia
Overall
5.2
Scoring
7.3
Defence
8.0
Dunav Ruse
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.3
Key Analytics
Levski Sofia
2.2
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Dunav Ruse
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.1
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 24%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 26%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
Match History
Head to Head
14.12.24
CUP
Levski Sofia
Dunav Ruse
1
0
22.11.23
CUP
Dunav Ruse
Levski Sofia
1
3
31.10.19
1L
Levski Sofia
Dunav Ruse
2
0
15.07.19
1L
Dunav Ruse
Levski Sofia
1
4
01.12.18
1L
Levski Sofia
Dunav Ruse
3
0
11.08.18
1L
Dunav Ruse
Levski Sofia
1
2
15.12.17
CUP
Dunav Ruse
Levski Sofia
0
2
29.11.17
1L
Dunav Ruse
Levski Sofia
0
4
13.08.17
1L
Levski Sofia
Dunav Ruse
2
0
21.05.17
1L
Dunav Ruse
Levski Sofia
0
1
Recent Results
Levski Sofia
14.07.26
CL
Levski Sofia
Borac Banja Luka
4
0
W
07.07.26
CL
Borac Banja Luka
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
30.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Radnik
5
0
W
27.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
23.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Etar
6
0
W
19.06.26
CF
Levski Sofia
Akademik Svishtov
4
0
W
25.05.26
1L
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
16.05.26
1L
Levski Sofia
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
13.05.26
1L
Ludogorets
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
09.05.26
1L
Levski Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
Dunav Ruse
11.07.26
CF
Cherno More
Dunav Ruse
1
1
D
01.07.26
CF
Dunav Ruse
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
27.06.26
CF
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
0
0
D
20.06.26
CF
Dunav Ruse
Lok. Gorna
1
2
L
23.05.26
2L
Minyor Pernik
Dunav Ruse
1
2
W
15.05.26
2L
Dunav Ruse
Yantra Gabrovo
0
1
L
11.05.26
2L
Fratria
Dunav Ruse
2
2
D
02.05.26
2L
Dunav Ruse
Sevlievo
2
0
W
26.04.26
2L
Svoge
Dunav Ruse
3
2
L
17.04.26
2L
Dunav Ruse
Marek
0
0
D
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Levski Sofia host Dunav Ruse at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) in Bulgaria EFBET League. Our analysis points to Levski Sofia to win as the standout bet.

Levski Sofia come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game.

Dunav Ruse are struggling away from home — 2W 5D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.1 per match.

Historically, Levski Sofia have won 10 of the last 10 meetings against Dunav Ruse, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 30% of those games, averaging 2.7 goals.

With all factors considered, levski sofia to win at 1.20 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Bulgaria EFBET League fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.20, which we make roughly a 60,20,20% shout. Kick-off is 7:15 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
Our top pick is 1 — Levski Sofia to win at around 1.20. Confidence: 64%.
What is Levski Sofia's recent form?
Levski Sofia have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Dunav Ruse been performing?
Dunav Ruse: 2W 5D 3L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Levski Sofia 10 wins vs Dunav Ruse's 0, with 0 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 2.7 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 30%.
⚠️ 18+ Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. BeGambleAware.org