🏆 Brazil Catarinense 2 📅 Wednesday, 15th July 2026 ⏰ 11:30 pm 📍 N/A ⏳ —
HER
Hercilio Luz
W W W W W
VS
GRE
Gremio Juventus
W D W L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Hercilio Luz to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.20
~50% implied
Confidence
55%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Hercilio Luz to win @1.20
Goals Under 2.5 65%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-33.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 83.3% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -33.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Hercilio Luz
W W W W W W D W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Gremio Juventus
W D W L L L L W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Hercilio Luz2W
Draw1
Gremio Juventus3W
Against Hercilio Luz won 2 of the last 6 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Hercilio Luz wins8/10
Gremio Juventus wins3/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals2.2
Supports Tip Hercilio Luz: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games.
8-1-1
Hercilio Luz form
3-1-6
Gremio Juventus form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Hercilio Luz
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
7.7
Gremio Juventus
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.0
Key Analytics
Hercilio Luz
2
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Gremio Juventus
1.1
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 47%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 44%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
Match History
Head to Head
24.05.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
0
1
23.01.22
CAT
Hercilio Luz
Gremio Juventus
1
0
07.11.21
CSC
Hercilio Luz
Gremio Juventus
1
2
04.11.21
CSC
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
1
1
28.10.21
CSC
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
3
1
03.03.21
CAT
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
2
0
Recent Results
Hercilio Luz
12.07.26
CAT2
Blumenau
Hercilio Luz
0
2
W
04.07.26
CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
Hercilio Luz
1
2
W
28.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Fluminense-SC
4
2
W
21.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Metropolitano
3
0
W
14.06.26
CAT2
Jaragua-SC
Hercilio Luz
0
2
W
07.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Nacao
2
1
W
31.05.26
CAT2
Caravaggio
Hercilio Luz
2
2
D
27.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Tubarao
2
0
W
24.05.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
0
1
W
13.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Blumenau
0
1
L
Gremio Juventus
12.07.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Guarani de Palhoca
1
0
W
08.07.26
CAT2
Blumenau
Gremio Juventus
1
1
D
04.07.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Jaragua-SC
8
1
W
21.06.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Tubarao
0
2
L
17.06.26
CAT2
Nacao
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
07.06.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Caravaggio
0
3
L
30.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Gremio Juventus
2
0
L
28.05.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Gremio Juventus
0
1
W
24.05.26
CAT2
Gremio Juventus
Hercilio Luz
0
1
L
16.05.26
CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
Venue Records
Hercilio Luz at Home
28.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Fluminense-SC
4
2
W
21.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Metropolitano
3
0
W
07.06.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Nacao
2
1
W
27.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Tubarao
2
0
W
13.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Blumenau
0
1
L
10.05.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Guarani de Palhoca
6
0
W
28.04.26
CAT2
Hercilio Luz
Jaragua-SC
4
1
W
20.02.25
CAT
Hercilio Luz
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.02.25
CAT
Hercilio Luz
Chapecoense-SC
2
2
D
14.02.25
CAT
Hercilio Luz
Joinville
2
1
W
Gremio Juventus Away
08.07.26
CAT2
Blumenau
Gremio Juventus
1
1
D
17.06.26
CAT2
Nacao
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
30.05.26
CAT2
Metropolitano
Gremio Juventus
2
0
L
28.05.26
CAT2
Fluminense-SC
Gremio Juventus
0
1
W
16.05.26
CAT2
Guarani de Palhoca
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
10.05.26
CAT2
Jaragua-SC
Gremio Juventus
0
1
W
01.05.26
CAT2
Tubarao
Gremio Juventus
4
0
L
30.07.25
CAT2
Camboriu
Gremio Juventus
1
1
D
05.07.25
CAT2
Blumenau
Gremio Juventus
1
0
L
29.06.25
CAT2
Nacao
Gremio Juventus
0
0
D
Expert Analysis

On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Hercilio Luz host Gremio Juventus at N/A in Brazil Catarinense 2. Our analysis points to Hercilio Luz to win as the standout bet.

Hercilio Luz come into this in strong form, with 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Gremio Juventus are struggling away from home — 3W 1D 6L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, Hercilio Luz have won 2 of the last 6 meetings against Gremio Juventus, who have taken 3 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2.2 goals.

With all factors considered, hercilio luz to win at 1.20 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


Right, let us dig into this Brazil Catarinense 2 fixture properly, because the surface-level version of this match and the actual version of this match are two very different things.

The hosts arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. The headline is one thing; the story underneath is another. We want to know what kind of phase this team is in. Are they peaking, finding their rhythm just as the calendar gets serious? Or did they burn bright early and have quietly been running on fumes since? The recent results at home hold that answer, and N/A has a way of either lifting a confident side or exposing a fragile one.

The away team responds with 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. There is a lag in how the market prices travelling form — a side that has sharpened up on the road over recent weeks can stay underpriced for a while, and a team coasting on an early-season away run can stay overpriced just as long. We try to catch that gap before it closes.

Stack the two profiles against each other and the lean becomes obvious. It is not about who is the bigger name; it is about who is in the better place right now, at this exact point in the season. Our call lands on 1 at @1.20, which we make roughly a 50,30,20% shout. Kick-off is 11:30 pm.

That is the pick and the reasoning behind it, laid bare. Swing through the rest of today’s tips while you are here — there is value scattered across the card if you know where to look.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus?
Our top pick is 1 — Hercilio Luz to win at around 1.20. Confidence: 55%.
What is Hercilio Luz's recent form?
Hercilio Luz have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Gremio Juventus been performing?
Gremio Juventus: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Hercilio Luz 2 wins vs Gremio Juventus's 3, with 1 draws in 6 meetings. Avg 2.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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