Tip LOST  ·  Toftir 0-1 HB Torshavn
🏆 Faroe Islands Premier League 📅 Tuesday, 26th May 2026
TOF
Toftir
L W D L D
0-1
VS
HB
HB Torshavn
L W L D W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 2.5
We're backing over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~90% implied
Confidence
75%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals @1.40
Goals Over 2.5 75%
Goals Over 1.5 100%
Both Teams To Score BTTS — Yes 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+18.6%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 71.4% but our model gives it 90%. That's a +18.6% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 65% $650.00
Half Kelly 32.5% $325.00
Quarter Kelly 16.3% $163.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
Toftir
L W D L D W W L L L
🥶 Cold 3 in a row
Momentum 40%
HB Torshavn
L W L D L L L W W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Toftir2W
Draw1
HB Torshavn7W
Mixed Over 2.5 goals in 50% of H2H meetings (avg 3.2).
📈 Recent Form
Toftir wins3/10
HB Torshavn wins3/10
Goals per game3.9
H2H avg goals3.2
Supports Tip Over 2.5 goals in 75% of recent games.
3-2-5
Toftir form
3-2-5
HB Torshavn form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
3.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Toftir
Overall
3.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
1.7
HB Torshavn
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.7
Key Analytics
Toftir
1.8
Goals
scored/game
2.5
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
HB Torshavn
1.5
Goals
scored/game
1.9
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
Match History
Head to Head
19.04.26
PL
Toftir
HB Torshavn
3
1
03.10.25
PL
HB Torshavn
Toftir
5
1
14.06.25
PL
Toftir
HB Torshavn
1
4
07.03.25
PL
HB Torshavn
Toftir
3
2
18.08.24
PL
HB Torshavn
Toftir
1
0
28.06.24
PL
Toftir
HB Torshavn
1
0
08.04.24
PL
Toftir
HB Torshavn
0
1
04.11.23
CUP
Toftir
HB Torshavn
0
1
30.09.23
PL
HB Torshavn
Toftir
3
3
04.06.23
PL
Toftir
HB Torshavn
0
2
Recent Results
Toftir
17.05.26
PL
Toftir
Klaksvik
1
4
L
10.05.26
PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur
Toftir
0
2
W
03.05.26
PL
Toftir
Streymur
1
1
D
29.04.26
CUP
Toftir
Klaksvik
0
3
L
26.04.26
PL
Vikingur
Toftir
2
2
D
19.04.26
PL
Toftir
HB Torshavn
3
1
W
15.04.26
CUP
Toftir
Midvagur
7
0
W
11.04.26
PL
Klaksvik
Toftir
6
1
L
04.04.26
PL
Toftir
NSI Runavik
1
2
L
21.03.26
PL
B36 Torshavn
Toftir
6
0
L
HB Torshavn
18.05.26
PL
HB Torshavn
Streymur
3
4
L
14.05.26
CUP
HB Torshavn
Vikingur
2
1
W
08.05.26
PL
NSI Runavik
HB Torshavn
2
1
L
03.05.26
PL
HB Torshavn
AB Argir
1
1
D
29.04.26
CUP
HB Torshavn
B36 Torshavn
3
1
W
26.04.26
PL
HB Torshavn
Klaksvik
0
2
L
19.04.26
PL
Toftir
HB Torshavn
3
1
L
15.04.26
CUP
HB Torshavn
Sandur
2
0
W
12.04.26
PL
Streymur
HB Torshavn
1
2
W
06.04.26
PL
HB Torshavn
B36 Torshavn
2
2
D
Expert Analysis

On Tuesday, 26th May 2026, Toftir host HB Torshavn in Faroe Islands Premier League. Our analysis points to over 2.5 goals as the standout bet.

Toftir come into this going through a difficult run, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.8 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game.

HB Torshavn are struggling away from home — 3W 2D 5L in 10 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.9 per match.

Historically, Toftir have won 2 of the last 10 meetings against HB Torshavn, who have taken 7 victories, with 1 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 3.2 goals.

With all factors considered, over 2.5 goals at 1.40 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Faroe Islands Premier League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 2.5, which offers fantastic value at @1.40. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Toftir vs HB Torshavn?
Our top pick is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals at around 1.40. Confidence: 75%.
What is Toftir's recent form?
Toftir have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has HB Torshavn been performing?
HB Torshavn: 3W 2D 5L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Toftir 2 wins vs HB Torshavn's 7, with 1 draws in 10 meetings. Avg 3.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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