Tip WON  ·  Al Ahli SC 3-0 Al Kholood
🏆 Saudi Professional League 📅 Saturday, 16th May 2026
AL
Al Ahli SC
W W W L W
3-0
VS
AL
Al Kholood
D L D D W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Al Ahli SC to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.26
~50% implied
Confidence
67%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Al Ahli SC to win @1.26
Goals Over 2.5 65%
Goals Over 1.5 80%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-29.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 79.4% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -29.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Al Ahli SC
W W W L W W W W D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 80%
Al Kholood
D L D D W L D W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Al Ahli SC4W
Draw0
Al Kholood1W
Supports Tip Al Ahli SC won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Al Ahli SC wins8/10
Al Kholood wins2/10
Goals per game2.9
H2H avg goals2.2
Supports Tip Al Ahli SC: 8W 1D 1L from 10 games.
8-1-1
Al Ahli SC form
2-4-4
Al Kholood form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Al Ahli SC
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.7
Al Kholood
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
3.3
Key Analytics
Al Ahli SC
1.9
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Al Kholood
1.1
Goals
scored/game
2
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 42%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Match History
Head to Head
17.01.26
SPL
Al Kholood
Al Ahli SC
0
1
17.05.25
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Kholood
4
1
15.01.25
SPL
Al Kholood
Al Ahli SC
1
0
07.02.23
DIV
Al Kholood
Al Ahli SC
1
2
05.09.22
DIV
Al Ahli SC
Al Kholood
1
0
Recent Results
Al Ahli SC
11.05.26
SPL
Al Taawon
Al Ahli SC
1
2
W
06.05.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Fateh
3
1
W
03.05.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Al Okhdood
4
0
W
29.04.26
SPL
Al Nassr
Al Ahli SC
2
0
L
25.04.26
CL
Al Ahli SC
Machida
1
0
W
20.04.26
CL
Vissel Kobe
Al Ahli SC
1
2
W
17.04.26
CL
Al Ahli SC
Johor DT
2
1
W
13.04.26
CL
Al Ahli SC
Al-Duhail
1
0
W
08.04.26
SPL
Al Fayha
Al Ahli SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC
Damac
3
0
W
Al Kholood
12.05.26
SPL
Al Kholood
Al Okhdood
0
0
D
08.05.26
KC
Al Kholood
Al Hilal
1
2
L
04.05.26
SPL
Al Ittihad
Al Kholood
0
0
D
30.04.26
SPL
Al Kholood
Al Fayha
1
1
D
11.04.26
SPL
Al Taawon
Al Kholood
1
2
W
08.04.26
SPL
Al Hilal
Al Kholood
6
0
L
03.04.26
SPL
Al Kholood
Al Khaleej
2
2
D
18.03.26
KC
Al Kholood
Al Ittihad
3
2
W
12.03.26
SPL
Al Hazem
Al Kholood
2
1
L
07.03.26
SPL
Al Kholood
Al Qadsiah
1
4
L
Expert Analysis

On Saturday, 16th May 2026, Al Ahli SC host Al Kholood in Saudi Professional League. Our analysis points to Al Ahli SC to win as the standout bet.

Al Ahli SC come into this in strong form, with 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

Al Kholood are struggling away from home — 2W 4D 4L in 10 games, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2 per match.

Historically, Al Ahli SC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Al Kholood, who have taken 1 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.2 goals.

With all factors considered, al ahli sc to win at 1.26 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Saudi Professional League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.26. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Al Ahli SC vs Al Kholood?
Our top pick is 1 — Al Ahli SC to win at around 1.26. Confidence: 67%.
What is Al Ahli SC's recent form?
Al Ahli SC have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Al Kholood been performing?
Al Kholood: 2W 4D 4L from 10 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Al Ahli SC 4 wins vs Al Kholood's 1, with 0 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 2.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.9 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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