Tip WON  ·  Olimpia Asuncion 3-2 Recoleta
🏆 Paraguay Copa de Primera 📅 Friday, 15th May 2026
OLI
Olimpia Asuncion
L W D L L
3-2
VS
REC
Recoleta
L D W D L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Olimpia Asuncion to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.36
~50% implied
Confidence
47%
Solid Pick
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees · GambleAware · GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Olimpia Asuncion to win @1.36
Goals Over 1.5 85%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-23.5%
edge
No Value
Market implies 73.5% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -23.5% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Olimpia Asuncion
L W D L L W D W W L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Recoleta
L D W D L W D L D W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Olimpia Asuncion4W
Draw3
Recoleta1W
Mixed Olimpia Asuncion won 4 of the last 8 meetings (3 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Olimpia Asuncion wins4/10
Recoleta wins3/10
Goals per game2.8
H2H avg goals2
Caution Olimpia Asuncion: 4W 2D 4L from 10 games.
4-2-4
Olimpia Asuncion form
3-4-3
Recoleta form
50%
H2H BTTS rate
2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Olimpia Asuncion
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
Recoleta
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
Key Analytics
Olimpia Asuncion
1.2
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Recoleta
1.8
Goals
scored/game
1.3
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
Match History
Head to Head
14.03.26
PD
Recoleta
Olimpia Asuncion
0
1
10.10.25
PD
Recoleta
Olimpia Asuncion
1
0
31.07.25
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Recoleta
1
0
01.06.25
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Recoleta
0
0
30.03.25
PD
Recoleta
Olimpia Asuncion
1
1
11.10.02
PD
Recoleta
Olimpia Asuncion
1
2
09.08.02
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Recoleta
3
1
22.03.02
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Recoleta
2
2
Recent Results
Olimpia Asuncion
10.05.26
PD
San Lorenzo
Olimpia Asuncion
1
0
L
07.05.26
COP
Barracas Central
Olimpia Asuncion
1
2
W
03.05.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Ameliano
1
1
D
30.04.26
COP
Vasco
Olimpia Asuncion
3
0
L
26.04.26
PD
Libertad Asuncion
Olimpia Asuncion
3
2
L
19.04.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
3
0
W
16.04.26
COP
Olimpia Asuncion
Barracas Central
0
0
D
12.04.26
PD
Rubio Nu
Olimpia Asuncion
0
2
W
09.04.26
COP
A. Italiano
Olimpia Asuncion
0
2
W
04.04.26
PD
Olimpia Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
Recoleta
11.05.26
PD
Ameliano
Recoleta
3
2
L
06.05.26
COP
Recoleta
Santos
1
1
D
03.05.26
PD
Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2
1
W
29.04.26
COP
Recoleta
Dep. Cuenca
0
0
D
24.04.26
PD
Nacional Asuncion
Recoleta
2
1
L
19.04.26
PD
Recoleta
2 de Mayo
5
0
W
15.04.26
COP
Santos
Recoleta
1
1
D
11.04.26
PD
Sp. Luqueno
Recoleta
2
1
L
08.04.26
COP
Recoleta
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
05.04.26
PD
Recoleta
San Lorenzo
4
2
W
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 15th May 2026, Olimpia Asuncion host Recoleta in Paraguay Copa de Primera. Our analysis points to Olimpia Asuncion to win as the standout bet.

Olimpia Asuncion come into this showing mixed form, with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Recoleta are struggling away from home — 3W 4D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per match.

Historically, Olimpia Asuncion have won 4 of the last 8 meetings against Recoleta, who have taken 1 victories, with 3 draws. Both teams scored in 50% of those games, averaging 2 goals.

With all factors considered, olimpia asuncion to win at 1.36 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Paraguay Copa de Primera clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 1, which offers fantastic value at @1.36. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta?
Our top pick is 1 — Olimpia Asuncion to win at around 1.36. Confidence: 47%.
What is Olimpia Asuncion's recent form?
Olimpia Asuncion have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 — inconsistent.
How has Recoleta been performing?
Recoleta: 3W 4D 3L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Olimpia Asuncion 4 wins vs Recoleta's 1, with 3 draws in 8 meetings. Avg 2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.8 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 50%.
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