Tip WON  ·  Mostaganem 0-4 Saoura
🏆 Algeria Ligue 1 📅 Thursday, 7th May 2026
MOS
Mostaganem
L L W L L
0-4
VS
SAO
Saoura
W D W W W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
2
We're backing Saoura to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.33
~50% implied
Confidence
53%
Solid Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 2 — Saoura to win @1.33
Both Teams To Score BTTS — No 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-25.2%
edge
No Value
Market implies 75.2% probability. Our estimate is 50%, a -25.2% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Mostaganem
L L W L L L D L D L
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 0%
Saoura
W D W W W L L W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Mostaganem1W
Draw2
Saoura3W
Mixed Saoura won 3 of 6 meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Mostaganem wins1/10
Saoura wins6/10
Goals per game2.5
H2H avg goals2.5
Supports Tip Saoura: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games.
1-2-7
Mostaganem form
6-1-3
Saoura form
67%
H2H BTTS rate
2.5
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Mostaganem
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.0
Defence
1.3
Saoura
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
8.0
Key Analytics
Mostaganem
0.6
Goals
scored/game
2.6
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Saoura
1.2
Goals
scored/game
0.6
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Home Win & BTTS No 8%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 49%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 6%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 35%
Match History
Head to Head
15.01.26
CUP
Mostaganem
Saoura
0
2
20.12.25
DIV
Saoura
Mostaganem
3
2
10.05.25
DIV
Saoura
Mostaganem
0
0
23.11.24
DIV
Mostaganem
Saoura
1
1
18.02.12
L2
Mostaganem
Saoura
2
1
07.10.11
L2
Saoura
Mostaganem
2
1
Recent Results
Mostaganem
10.04.26
DIV
Mostaganem
Khenchela
0
3
L
05.04.26
DIV
CR Belouizdad
Mostaganem
7
0
L
17.03.26
DIV
Mostaganem
Paradou
3
2
W
13.03.26
DIV
ASO Chlef
Mostaganem
1
0
L
07.03.26
DIV
Mostaganem
MC Alger
0
5
L
28.02.26
DIV
ES Setif
Mostaganem
3
0
L
21.02.26
DIV
Mostaganem
Kabylie
2
2
D
14.02.26
DIV
Rouisset
Mostaganem
1
0
L
07.02.26
DIV
Mostaganem
Oran
0
0
D
03.02.26
DIV
Constantine
Mostaganem
2
1
L
Saoura
17.04.26
DIV
Saoura
Khenchela
3
0
W
11.04.26
DIV
Paradou
Saoura
1
1
D
05.04.26
DIV
Saoura
MC Alger
2
1
W
18.03.26
DIV
Kabylie
Saoura
0
1
W
13.03.26
DIV
Saoura
Oran
2
0
W
08.03.26
DIV
Olympique Akbou
Saoura
1
0
L
04.03.26
CUP
USM Alger
Saoura
1
0
L
27.02.26
DIV
Saoura
Ben Aknoun
1
0
W
21.02.26
DIV
Saoura
USM Alger
1
2
W
08.02.26
DIV
ASO Chlef
Saoura
0
1
W
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 7th May 2026, Mostaganem host Saoura in Algeria Ligue 1. Our analysis points to Saoura to win as the standout bet.

Mostaganem come into this going through a difficult run, with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game.

Saoura are inconsistent on the road — 6W 1D 3L in 10 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6 per match.

Historically, Mostaganem have won 1 of the last 6 meetings against Saoura, who have taken 3 victories, with 2 draws. Both teams scored in 67% of those games, averaging 2.5 goals.

With all factors considered, saoura to win at 1.33 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this Algeria Ligue 1 clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side.

Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment.

Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss.

When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with 2, which offers fantastic value at @1.33. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out.

The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Mostaganem vs Saoura?
Our top pick is 2 — Saoura to win at around 1.33. Confidence: 53%.
What is Mostaganem's recent form?
Mostaganem have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 — poor form.
How has Saoura been performing?
Saoura: 6W 1D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Mostaganem 1 wins vs Saoura's 3, with 2 draws in 6 meetings. Avg 2.5 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 67%.
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