Tip WON  ·  FC Porto 2-0 Stuttgart
🏆 UEFA Europa League 📅 Thursday, 19th March 2026
FC
FC Porto
W W D L W
2-0
VS
STU
Stuttgart
W L D W L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
Over 1.5
We're backing over 1.5 goals in this fixture.
Odds
1.23
~100% implied
Confidence
91%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals @1.23
Goals Over 2.5 70%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
+18.7%
edge
Value Bet
The market prices this at 81.3% but our model gives it 100%. That's a +18.7% edge — statistically meaningful.
💰 Kelly Criterion
Strategy% of bankrolle.g. $1,000
Full Kelly 100% $1,000.00
Half Kelly 50% $500.00
Quarter Kelly 25% $250.00
Most professionals use Half or Quarter Kelly to manage variance. Full Kelly maximises expected growth but carries higher drawdown risk.
Form Streak Tracker
FC Porto
W W D L W W W D L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
Stuttgart
W L D W L D W W L W
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 60%
⚔ Head to Head
FC Porto1W
Draw0
Stuttgart0W
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 100% of H2H meetings (avg 3).
📈 Recent Form
FC Porto wins6/10
Stuttgart wins5/10
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals3
Supports Tip Over 1.5 goals in 75% of recent games.
6-2-2
FC Porto form
5-2-3
Stuttgart form
100%
H2H BTTS rate
3
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
FC Porto
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Stuttgart
Overall
5.6
Scoring
7.3
Defence
6.0
Key Analytics
FC Porto
1.7
Goals
scored/game
0.9
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Stuttgart
2.2
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
30%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
Match History
Head to Head
12.03.26
EL: Stuttgart
FC Porto
1
2
Recent Results
FC Porto
15.03.26
LP: FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
12.03.26
EL: Stuttgart
FC Porto
1
2
W
08.03.26
LP: Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
03.03.26
TP: Sporting CP
FC Porto
1
0
L
27.02.26
LP: FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
LP: FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
15.02.26
LP: Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
W
09.02.26
LP: FC Porto
Sporting CP
1
1
D
02.02.26
LP: Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
L
29.01.26
EL: FC Porto
Rangers
3
1
W
Stuttgart
15.03.26
BUN: Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
1
0
W
12.03.26
EL: Stuttgart
FC Porto
1
2
L
07.03.26
BUN: Mainz
Stuttgart
2
2
D
01.03.26
BUN: Stuttgart
Wolfsburg
4
0
W
26.02.26
EL: Stuttgart
Celtic
0
1
L
22.02.26
BUN: Heidenheim
Stuttgart
3
3
D
19.02.26
EL: Celtic
Stuttgart
1
4
W
14.02.26
BUN: Stuttgart
FC Koln
3
1
W
07.02.26
BUN: St. Pauli
Stuttgart
2
1
L
04.02.26
POK: Holstein Kiel
Stuttgart
0
3
W
Expert Analysis

On Thursday, 19th March 2026, FC Porto host Stuttgart in UEFA Europa League. Our analysis points to over 1.5 goals as the standout bet.

FC Porto come into this showing mixed form, with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 10 matches. They average 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Stuttgart are inconsistent on the road — 5W 2D 3L in 10 games, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, FC Porto have won 1 of the last 1 meetings against Stuttgart, who have taken 0 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 100% of those games, averaging 3 goals.

With all factors considered, over 1.5 goals at 1.23 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.


You cannot just guess and hope to beat the bookies in this UEFA Europa League clash; it takes real research. Finding a reliable bet means completely trusting the stats and ignoring whatever the media hype is trying to sell you today. We always start our breakdown with the home side. Sure, their overall season record matters for the baseline odds, but we care way more about their recent games. That recent stretch shows us if they are actually scoring goals easily or leaking them at the back right now. On the other side of the pitch, the away team needs the exact same treatment. Are they hitting a rough patch, or are they quietly finding their best form? We compare their whole season to their last few outings to find the real answer. Plus, looking at how these two teams matched up in the past is a massive deal. Those older games often highlight mental blocks or clashing playing styles that normal betting models completely miss. When you mix that history with current form, the winning choice becomes incredibly obvious. We highly recommend going with Over 1.5, which offers fantastic value at 1.23. As soon as the whistle blows, our job is done and we just watch the game play out. The final score will show if our numbers were on point. Take a look at our other daily predictions to keep winning.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for FC Porto vs Stuttgart?
Our top pick is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals at around 1.23. Confidence: 91%.
What is FC Porto's recent form?
FC Porto have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 — decent form.
How has Stuttgart been performing?
Stuttgart: 5W 2D 3L from 10 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
FC Porto 1 wins vs Stuttgart's 0, with 0 draws in 1 meetings. Avg 3 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 100%.
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