✓ Tip WON  ·  Kitchee 1-0 Kowloon City
🏆 Hong Kong Cup 📅 Wednesday, 18th March 2026
KIT
Kitchee
W D W W W
1-0
VS
KOW
Kowloon City
L W L L L
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Kitchee to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.15
~60% implied
Confidence
★★★★★
74%
Strong Pick
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Supporting Bets
★ Main 1 — Kitchee to win @1.15
Goals Over 2.5 75%
Goals Over 1.5 85%
H2H Over 2.5 100%

Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.

Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-27%
edge
No Value
Market implies 87% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -27% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Kitchee
W D W W W W W W W W
🔥 Hot 8 in a row
Momentum 100%
Kowloon City
L W L L L L W W L L
〰 Mixed 2 in a row
Momentum 40%
⚔ Head to Head
Kitchee4W
Draw0
Kowloon City1W
Supports Tip Kitchee won 4 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Kitchee wins9/10
Kowloon City wins3/10
Goals per game3.5
H2H avg goals5.2
Supports Tip Kitchee: 9W 1D 0L from 10 games.
9-1-0
Kitchee form
3-0-7
Kowloon City form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
5.2
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Kitchee
Overall
9.3 ▲
Scoring
8.7 —
Defence
7.7 —
Kowloon City
Overall
3.0 ▲
Scoring
4.0 —
Defence
1.7 —
Key Analytics
Kitchee
2.6
Goals
scored/game
0.7
Goals
conceded/game
50%
Clean
sheets
Kowloon City
1.2
Goals
scored/game
2.5
Goals
conceded/game
10%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 54%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
Match History
Head to Head
14.03.26
DIV: Kitchee
Kowloon City
4
0
02.11.25
DIV: Kowloon City
Kitchee
0
5
26.02.25
DIV: Kitchee
Kowloon City
2
3
24.11.24
DIV: Kowloon City
Kitchee
0
5
25.09.24
DIV: Kitchee
Kowloon City
6
1
Recent Results
Kitchee
14.03.26
DIV: Kitchee
Kowloon City
4
0
W
07.03.26
FAC: Tai Po
Kitchee (6-5 pens)
1
1
L
01.03.26
DIV: Kitchee
Hong Kong FC
5
2
W
15.02.26
DIV: Kitchee
Lee Man Warriors
1
0
W
31.01.26
DIV: Kitchee
Southern District
3
0
W
25.01.26
DIV: Kitchee
Tai Po
4
2
W
17.01.26
DIV: Hong Kong Rangers
Kitchee
0
3
W
11.01.26
DIV: Hong Kong FC
Kitchee
1
2
W
13.12.25
DIV: North District
Kitchee
1
2
W
02.12.25
DIV: Kitchee
Eastern District
1
0
W
Kowloon City
14.03.26
DIV: Kitchee
Kowloon City
4
0
L
01.03.26
DIV: Kowloon City
Hong Kong Rangers
5
1
W
01.02.26
DIV: Kowloon City
Lee Man Warriors
1
4
L
17.01.26
DIV: North District
Kowloon City
2
1
L
10.01.26
DIV: Tai Po
Kowloon City
3
2
L
20.12.25
FAC: Lee Man Warriors
Kowloon City
3
0
L
14.12.25
DIV: Hong Kong FC
Kowloon City
0
1
W
07.12.25
DIV: Kowloon City
Eastern AA
2
1
W
22.11.25
DIV: Southern District
Kowloon City
2
0
L
02.11.25
DIV: Kowloon City
Kitchee
0
5
L
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Kitchee vs Kowloon City?
Our top pick is 1 — Kitchee to win at around 1.15. Confidence: 74%.
What is Kitchee's recent form?
Kitchee have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 — very good form.
How has Kowloon City been performing?
Kowloon City: 3W 0D 7L from 10 games — inconsistent.
What is the H2H record?
Kitchee 4 wins vs Kowloon City's 1, with 0 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 5.2 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3.5 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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