NAP
Napoli
W
W
L
D
L
2-1
VS
LEC
Lecce
W
L
L
W
W
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1
We're backing Napoli to win in this fixture.
Odds
1.40
~1% implied
Confidence
★★★★★ 19%
Value Play
⚠
18+ · Gamble responsibly · Tips are not guarantees ·
GambleAware ·
GamCare
Supporting Bets
★ Main
1 — Napoli to win
@1.40
Goals
Over 2.5
80%
Goals
Over 1.5
100%
Both Teams To Score
BTTS — Yes
80%
Supporting bets are derived from form data and are secondary to the main selection. All tips carry risk.
Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-70.4%
edge
No Value
Market implies 71.4% probability. Our estimate is 1%, a -70.4% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Napoli
W
W
L
D
L
〰 Mixed
1 in a row
Lecce
W
L
L
W
W
〰 Mixed
2 in a row
⚔ Head to Head
Napoli4W
Draw1
Lecce0W
Supports Tip
Napoli won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📈 Recent Form
Napoli wins2/5
Lecce wins3/5
Goals per game3
H2H avg goals1.4
Caution
Napoli: 2W 1D 2L from 5 games.
2-1-2
Napoli form
3-0-2
Lecce form
0%
H2H BTTS rate
1.4
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Key Analytics
Napoli
1.6
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
0%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Lecce
1.4
Goals
scored/game
scored/game
1.4
Goals
conceded/game
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
sheets
Combination Markets
Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes
29%
Home Win & BTTS No
7%
Draw & BTTS Yes
7%
Draw & BTTS No
2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes
44%
Away Win & BTTS No
11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5
29%
Home Win & Under 2.5
7%
Draw & Over 2.5
7%
Draw & Under 2.5
2%
Away Win & Over 2.5
44%
Away Win & Under 2.5
11%
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ SA (Oct 28, 2025): Lecce
Napoli
0
1
⚽ SA (May 3, 2025): Lecce
Napoli
0
1
⚽ SA (Oct 26, 2024): Napoli
Lecce
1
0
⚽ SA (May 26, 2024): Napoli
Lecce
0
0
⚽ SA (Sep 30, 2023): Lecce
Napoli
0
4
Recent Results
Napoli
⚽ SA (Mar 6, 2026): Napoli
Torino
2
1
⚽ SA (Feb 28, 2026): Verona
Napoli
1
2
⚽ SA (Feb 22, 2026): Atalanta
Napoli
2
1
⚽ SA (Feb 15, 2026): Napoli
AS Roma
2
2
⚽ COP (Feb 10, 2026): Napoli
Como
1
2
Lecce
⚽ SA (Mar 8, 2026): Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
⚽ SA (Feb 28, 2026): Como
Lecce
3
1
⚽ SA (Feb 21, 2026): Lecce
Inter
0
2
⚽ SA (Feb 16, 2026): Cagliari
Lecce
0
2
⚽ SA (Feb 8, 2026): Lecce
Udinese
2
1
Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Napoli vs Lecce?
Our top pick is 1 — Napoli to win at around 1.40. Confidence: 19%.
What is Napoli's recent form?
Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 — inconsistent.
How has Lecce been performing?
Lecce: 3W 0D 2L from 5 games — decent form.
What is the H2H record?
Napoli 4 wins vs Lecce's 0, with 1 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 1.4 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 3 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 0%.