Tip WON  ·  Marseille 1-0 Auxerre
🏆 Ligue 1 📅 Friday, 13th March 2026
MAR
Marseille
W L W L D
1-0
VS
AUX
Auxerre
D D L W D
Today's Top Prediction
Recommended Selection
1X
We're backing Marseille to win or draw in this fixture.
Odds
1.12
~60% implied
Confidence
66%
Strong Pick
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Bettor Intelligence
📊 Value Assessment
-29.3%
edge
No Value
Market implies 89.3% probability. Our estimate is 60%, a -29.3% gap. The price doesn't reflect enough value.
💰 Kelly Criterion
⚠ Kelly returns a negative stake — the model finds no positive expected value at this price. Consider skipping or reducing stake.
Form Streak Tracker
Marseille
W D W L D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 40%
Auxerre
D D L W D
〰 Mixed 1 in a row
Momentum 20%
⚔ Head to Head
Marseille3W
Draw0
Auxerre2W
Supports Tip Marseille unbeaten in 3 of 5 H2H meetings.
📈 Recent Form
Marseille wins2/5
Auxerre wins1/5
Goals per game2.7
H2H avg goals2.6
Supports Tip Marseille unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent games.
2-2-1
Marseille form
1-3-1
Auxerre form
40%
H2H BTTS rate
2.6
H2H avg goals
Team Form Ratings
Marseille
Overall
5.2
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.7
Auxerre
Overall
3.8
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.0
Key Analytics
Marseille
1.6
Goals
scored/game
1.6
Goals
conceded/game
20%
Clean
sheets
Auxerre
1
Goals
scored/game
1.2
Goals
conceded/game
40%
Clean
sheets
Combination Markets

Derived from form data. Highlighted row = highest probability in each group.

Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 27%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
Match History
Head to Head
⚽ L1 (Nov 1, 2025): Auxerre
Marseille
0
1
⚽ L1 (Feb 22, 2025): Auxerre
Marseille
3
0
⚽ L1 (Nov 8, 2024): Marseille
Auxerre
1
3
⚽ L1 (Apr 30, 2023): Marseille
Auxerre
2
1
⚽ L1 (Sep 3, 2022): Auxerre
Marseille
0
2
Recent Results
Marseille
⚽ L1 (Mar 7, 2026): Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
⚽ CDF (Mar 4, 2026): Marseille
Toulouse (5-6)
2
2
⚽ L1 (Mar 1, 2026): Marseille
Lyon
3
2
⚽ L1 (Feb 20, 2026): Brest
Marseille
2
0
⚽ L1 (Feb 14, 2026): Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
Auxerre
⚽ L1 (Mar 7, 2026): Auxerre
Strasbourg
0
0
⚽ L1 (Mar 1, 2026): Lorient
Auxerre
2
2
⚽ L1 (Feb 22, 2026): Auxerre
Rennes
0
3
⚽ L1 (Feb 15, 2026): Metz
Auxerre
1
3
⚽ L1 (Feb 8, 2026): Auxerre
Paris FC
0
0
Expert Analysis

On Friday, 13th March 2026, Marseille host Auxerre in Ligue 1. Our analysis points to Marseille to win or draw as the standout bet.

Marseille come into this showing mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses from their last 5 matches. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Auxerre are struggling away from home — 1W 3D 1L in 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1.2 per match.

Historically, Marseille have won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Auxerre, who have taken 2 victories, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 40% of those games, averaging 2.6 goals.

With all factors considered, marseille to win or draw at 1.12 represents the strongest value angle in this fixture. Confirm team news before placing.

Match Intelligence FAQ
What is the best bet for Marseille vs Auxerre?
Our top pick is 1X — Marseille to win or draw at around 1.12. Confidence: 66%.
What is Marseille's recent form?
Marseille have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 — inconsistent.
How has Auxerre been performing?
Auxerre: 1W 3D 1L from 5 games — poor form.
What is the H2H record?
Marseille 3 wins vs Auxerre's 2, with 0 draws in 5 meetings. Avg 2.6 goals.
How many goals are expected?
Recent matches involving these sides average 2.7 goals. H2H BTTS rate: 40%.
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